KEY
KeyCorp
KEY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 25% and its operating margin rose 14 points to 34%. At 12x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.
KEY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
KEY's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KEY.
KEY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.9x | $14.34 | -33% |
| Forward | 10x | $21.33 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $20.72 | -2.9% |
| Current | 12x | $21.33 | — |
| Expensive | 17x | $30.68 | +44% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
KEY's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.
KEY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for KEY, with profitability improving.
KEY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.09 | +15% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.82 | +130% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.72 | +$1.81 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.63 | +$1.82 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.52 | +$1.84 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.79 | +7800% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.09 | -112% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.19 | -124% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.32 | -136% |
KEY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.82 over the past year, against $2.63 in late 2021.
KEY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | +134% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +176% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $855M | -44% |
KEY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 36% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +81 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +106 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | -48% | -52 points |
KEY's operating margin was 36% last quarter, up 4.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
KEY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $684M | +86% |
| Q2 2026 | $233M | -81% |
| Q1 2026 | -$74M | +$76M |
| Q4 2025 | $673M | -61% |
| Q3 2025 | $367M | +$1.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +$1.4B |
| Q1 2025 | -$150M | -143% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +71% |
KEY's free cash flow was $1.5B over the past year, down 52% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KEY.
KEY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.5% | -15.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -46.4M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +133M shares |
| 5 years | +12% | +112M shares |
| Available history | +6.2% | +62M shares |
KEY has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $26M |
| Q3 2021 | $150M |
| Q2 2021 | $300M |
| Q1 2021 | $135M |
| Q4 2020 | $17M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
KEY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 9.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 21.2x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 37.8x | High |
KEY's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KEY.
KEY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.1 | Neutral |
KEY's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
KEY PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | KEY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 10% below |
| PE % | 55 | 63 | 8 pts below |
KEY is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
KEY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.6 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $21.7 | 1.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $21.4 | 0.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $19.3 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.7 | 28% above |
KEY's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 28% above its 200-week average.
KEY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.3 | $16.2 | -20% |
| 2021 | $16.2 | $22.7 | +40% |
| 2022 | $22.7 | $17.2 | -24% |
| 2023 | $17.2 | $14.4 | -16% |
| 2024 | $14.4 | $17.2 | +19% |
| 2025 | $17.2 | $21.2 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.2 | $21.3 | +0.7% |
KEY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.