HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
HLT has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
HLT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
HLT's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
HLT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 32x | $239 | -36% |
| Forward | 37x | $373 | — |
| Fair | 42x | $314 | -16% |
| Current | 50x | $373 | — |
| Expensive | 53x | $394 | +5.7% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HLT has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HLT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
HLT has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HLT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.05 | +36% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.40 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.81 | +4.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.55 | +3.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.12 | -0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.90 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.50 | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.33 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.14 | +42% |
HLT has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
HLT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.3B | +6.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +6.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.1B | +6.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +4.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +6.7% |
HLT has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +2.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 23% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 25% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +2.2 points |
HLT has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
HLT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $689M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $460M | -28% |
| Q1 2026 | $609M | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $173M | -68% |
| Q3 2025 | $787M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $635M | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $433M | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $534M | +26% |
HLT has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
HLT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -36M shares |
| 5 years | -20% | -55M shares |
| Available history | -22% | -64M shares |
HLT has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $846M |
| Q2 2026 | $966M |
| Q1 2026 | $821M |
| Q4 2025 | $779M |
| Q3 2025 | $759M |
| Q2 2025 | $769M |
| Q1 2025 | $875M |
| Q4 2024 | $766M |
HLT spent $3.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 7.7% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
HLT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
HLT's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over HLT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HLT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 72.6 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 88.1 | Overbought |
HLT's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
HLT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HLT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 50x | 18x | 180% above |
| PE % | 76 | 47 | 29 pts above |
HLT has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HLT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $344.3 | 8.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $330.6 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $319.0 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $287.0 | 30% above |
| 200 week MA | $234.9 | 59% above |
HLT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.
HLT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $112.4 | $106.9 | -4.9% |
| 2021 | $106.9 | $154.7 | +45% |
| 2022 | $154.7 | $126.4 | -18% |
| 2023 | $126.4 | $182.1 | +44% |
| 2024 | $182.1 | $249.9 | +37% |
| 2025 | $249.9 | $293.5 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $293.5 | $372.7 | +27% |
HLT has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.