HLMN

Hillman Solutions Corp.

57
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential27/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

HLMN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over HLMN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

HLMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure

HLMN's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

HLMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE135x270x405x540x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE135x270x405x540x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$7.90—
Cheap42x$5.03-36%
Current66x$7.90—
Fair78x$9.31+18%
Expensive337x$40.48+412%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HLMN's PE is in its fair range at 66x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over HLMN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HLMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HLMN, with profitability holding steady.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

VRT has the edge over HLMN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

HLMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$8.90
Downside-34%$5.20

Calculated from the latest close: $7.90 on Nov 12.

HLMN trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HLMN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HLMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.03Q3 2024: $0.04Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.63
Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.03Q3 2024: $0.04Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.63+422%
Q3 2026$0.12-40%
Q2 2026$0.21+75%
Q1 2026$0.18+80%
Q4 2025$0.20+122%
Q3 2025$0.20+400%
Q2 2025$0.12+300%
Q1 2025$0.10+$0.11
Q4 2024$0.09+$0.14

HLMN earned $0.12 per share over the past year, down 40% from the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over HLMN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $348MQ1 2024: $350MQ2 2024: $379MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $350MQ1 2025: $359MQ2 2025: $403MQ3 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $365MQ1 2026: $370MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $457M
Q4 2023: $348MQ1 2024: $350MQ2 2024: $379MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $350MQ1 2025: $359MQ2 2025: $403MQ3 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $365MQ1 2026: $370MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $457M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$457.5M+7.7%
Q2 2026$442.3M+9.8%
Q1 2026$370.1M+3%
Q4 2025$365.1M+4.5%
Q3 2025$424.9M+8%
Q2 2025$402.8M+6.2%
Q1 2025$359.3M+2.6%
Q4 2024$349.6M+0.5%

HLMN's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $457M last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over HLMN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HLMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $51M
Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $51M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$51.1M+464%
Q2 2026$70.2M+125%
Q1 2026-$34.3M-$13M
Q4 2025$16.1M-27%
Q3 2025$9.1M-77%
Q2 2025$31.2M-27%
Q1 2025-$21.3M-$15.2M
Q4 2024$22.1M-58%

HLMN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $103M over the past year.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over HLMN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 198MQ3 2024: 199MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 197MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 200MQ4 2025: 199MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 197MQ3 2026: 196M
Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 198MQ3 2024: 199MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 197MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 200MQ4 2025: 199MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 197MQ3 2026: 196M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-833K shares
1 year-1.9%-3.8M shares
3 years-0.3%-517K shares
5 years+1056%+179M shares

HLMN has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HLMN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.7xElevated
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

HLMN's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over HLMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HLMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic48.0Neutral

HLMN's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

HLMN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHLMNSector medianRelative
PE66x24x173% above
PE %395617 pts below

HLMN is trading at 66x earnings, a 173% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT has the edge over HLMN on valuation relative to its sector.

HLMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.465.9% above
20 week MA$7.761.8% above
50 week MA$8.244.1% below
100 week MA$8.527.3% below
200 week MA$8.8311% below

HLMN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 11% below its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

HLMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.95$10.2+2.9%
2021$10.2$10.5+2.5%
2022$10.5$6.82-35%
2023$6.82$9.21+35%
2024$9.21$9.80+6.4%
2025$9.80$9.09-7.2%
2026 YTD$9.09$7.90-13%

HLMN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over HLMN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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