HLLY
Holley Inc.
HLLY has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HLLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
HLLY's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
HLLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.6x | $1.05 | -55% |
| Current | 15x | $2.36 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $3.24 | +37% |
| Expensive | 28x | $4.43 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HLLY's PE is in its fair range at 15x.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over HLLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HLLY Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for HLLY to show an outlook.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HLLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.16 | +$0.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.20 | +$0.41 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.16 | +$0.36 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.22 | -283% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.26 | -244% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.21 | -240% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.20 | -225% |
HLLY has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
HLLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $141.6M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $172M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $147.3M | -3.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $155.4M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $138.4M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $166.7M | -1.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $153M | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $140.1M | -10% |
HLLY has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6% | -15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +6.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -21% | -33 points |
HLLY has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
HLLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.8M | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.9M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.3M | +$4.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $3.8M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3M | +$8.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $35.7M | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.8M | -162% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7M | -94% |
HLLY has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
HLLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +593K shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +1.6M shares |
| 5 years | +1170% | +111M shares |
HLLY has 121M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over HLLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
HLLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 12.7x | High |
HLLY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over HLLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HLLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.7 | Neutral |
HLLY's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
HLLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HLLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 18% below |
| PE % | 34 | 49 | 15 pts below |
HLLY has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HLLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.42 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.64 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.11 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.94 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.39 | 30% below |
HLLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over HLLY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HLLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.75 | $10.0 | +2.7% |
| 2021 | $10.0 | $12.6 | +26% |
| 2022 | $12.6 | $2.04 | -84% |
| 2023 | $2.04 | $4.87 | +139% |
| 2024 | $4.87 | $3.00 | -38% |
| 2025 | $3.00 | $4.17 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.17 | $2.36 | -43% |
HLLY's yearly returns have swung widely, from +139% in 2023 to −84% in 2022. It's down 43% so far in 2026.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over HLLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.