HLLY
Holley Inc.
HLLY's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 15x earnings, below its usual 21x.
HLLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
HLLY's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
HLLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.6x | $1.05 | -55% |
| Current | 15x | $2.36 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $3.24 | +37% |
| Expensive | 28x | $4.43 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HLLY's PE is in its fair range at 15x.
HLLY Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for HLLY to show an outlook.
HLLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.16 | +$0.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.20 | +$0.41 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.16 | +$0.36 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.22 | -283% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.26 | -244% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.21 | -240% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.20 | -225% |
HLLY has returned to profit: it earned $0.16 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
HLLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $141.6M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $172M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $147.3M | -3.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $155.4M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $138.4M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $166.7M | -1.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $153M | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $140.1M | -10% |
HLLY's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $142M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6% | -15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +6.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -21% | -33 points |
HLLY's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HLLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.8M | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.9M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.3M | +$4.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $3.8M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3M | +$8.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $35.7M | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.8M | -162% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7M | -94% |
HLLY still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $47M over the past year.
HLLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +593K shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +1.6M shares |
| 5 years | +1170% | +111M shares |
HLLY has 121M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
HLLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 12.7x | High |
HLLY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago.
HLLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.7 | Neutral |
HLLY's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
HLLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HLLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 18% below |
| PE % | 34 | 49 | 15 pts below |
HLLY is trading at 15x earnings, a 18% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HLLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.42 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.64 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.11 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.94 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.39 | 30% below |
HLLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.
HLLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.75 | $10.0 | +2.7% |
| 2021 | $10.0 | $12.6 | +26% |
| 2022 | $12.6 | $2.04 | -84% |
| 2023 | $2.04 | $4.87 | +139% |
| 2024 | $4.87 | $3.00 | -38% |
| 2025 | $3.00 | $4.17 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.17 | $2.36 | -43% |
HLLY's yearly returns have swung widely, from +139% in 2023 to −84% in 2022. It's down 43% so far in 2026.