HLIT

Harmonic Inc.

62
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

HLIT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over HLIT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

HLIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

HLIT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

HLIT PE Valuation

HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK's PE is 7.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HLIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HLIT, with profitability improving.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNDK, with profitability improving.

HLIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$14.74
Downside-28%$7.56

Calculated from the latest close: $10.47 on Nov 12.

HLIT trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HLIT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HLIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.45Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.36Q3 2026: $-0.41Q4 2026: $-0.30Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.45Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.36Q3 2026: $-0.41Q4 2026: $-0.30Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82—
Q3 2026-$0.30-171%
Q2 2026-$0.41-169%
Q1 2026-$0.36-180%
Q4 2025-$0.38-215%
Q3 2025$0.42-43%
Q2 2025$0.59+20%
Q1 2025$0.45-26%
Q4 2024$0.33-54%

HLIT has swung to a loss: it lost $0.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over HLIT in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

HLIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $196MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $142MQ4 2025: $98MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $133MQ4 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $196MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $142MQ4 2025: $98MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $133MQ4 2026: $149M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$148.8M+4.5%
Q2 2026$133.5M-3.3%
Q1 2026$121.7M-8.6%
Q4 2025$98.2M-56%
Q3 2025$142.4M-27%
Q2 2025$138M-0.5%
Q1 2025$133.1M+9.1%
Q4 2024$222.2M+33%

HLIT's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $149M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK has the edge over HLIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $10MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: −$60MQ4 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $10MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: −$60MQ4 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.4M+125%
Q2 2026-$59.6M-$44.1M
Q1 2026$30.3M-63%
Q4 2025$9.6M-79%
Q3 2025$21M+267%
Q2 2025-$15.5M+$8.6M
Q1 2025$81.7M+228%
Q4 2024$46.2M+1204%

HLIT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $28M over the past year.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over HLIT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 110MQ4 2026: 110M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 110MQ4 2026: 110M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+577K shares
1 year-2.7%-3.1M shares
3 years-1.6%-1.8M shares
5 years+3.6%+3.8M shares
Available history+13%+12.8M shares

HLIT has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

HLIT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.0xQ1 2024: -6.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.8xQ4 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -2.0xQ1 2024: -6.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.8xQ4 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

HLIT has the edge over SNDK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has more cash than debt.

HLIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

HLIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

HLIT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHLITSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK is trading at 7.5x earnings, a 73% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

HLIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.50.5% below
20 week MA$11.69.8% below
50 week MA$11.37.6% below
100 week MA$10.71.9% below
200 week MA$11.811% below

SNDK has stronger trend alignment. HLIT is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.

HLIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.64$7.19-5.9%
2021$7.19$11.7+63%
2022$11.7$13.0+11%
2023$13.0$13.0+0.3%
2024$13.0$13.5+3.1%
2025$13.5$9.96-26%
2026 YTD$9.96$10.5+5.1%

HLIT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5.1% so far in 2026.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over HLIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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