HLIT

Harmonic Inc.

62
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

HLIT lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

HLIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

HLIT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

HLIT PE Valuation

HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HLIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HLIT, with profitability improving.

HLIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$14.74
Downside-28%$7.56

Calculated from the latest close: $10.47 on Nov 12.

HLIT's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +41% against −28%.

HLIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.45Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.36Q3 2026: $-0.41Q4 2026: $-0.30Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.45Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.36Q3 2026: $-0.41Q4 2026: $-0.30Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82—
Q3 2026-$0.30-171%
Q2 2026-$0.41-169%
Q1 2026-$0.36-180%
Q4 2025-$0.38-215%
Q3 2025$0.42-43%
Q2 2025$0.59+20%
Q1 2025$0.45-26%
Q4 2024$0.33-54%

HLIT has swung to a loss: it lost $0.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HLIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $196MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $142MQ4 2025: $98MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $133MQ4 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $196MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $142MQ4 2025: $98MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $133MQ4 2026: $149M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$148.8M+4.5%
Q2 2026$133.5M-3.3%
Q1 2026$121.7M-8.6%
Q4 2025$98.2M-56%
Q3 2025$142.4M-27%
Q2 2025$138M-0.5%
Q1 2025$133.1M+9.1%
Q4 2024$222.2M+33%

HLIT's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $149M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

HLIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $10MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: −$60MQ4 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $10MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: −$60MQ4 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.4M+125%
Q2 2026-$59.6M-$44.1M
Q1 2026$30.3M-63%
Q4 2025$9.6M-79%
Q3 2025$21M+267%
Q2 2025-$15.5M+$8.6M
Q1 2025$81.7M+228%
Q4 2024$46.2M+1204%

HLIT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $28M over the past year.

HLIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 110MQ4 2026: 110M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 110MQ4 2026: 110M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+577K shares
1 year-2.7%-3.1M shares
3 years-1.6%-1.8M shares
5 years+3.6%+3.8M shares
Available history+13%+12.8M shares

HLIT has 110M diluted shares, down 2.7% from a year ago, with $60M in buybacks over the past year.

HLIT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.0xQ1 2024: -6.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.8xQ4 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -2.0xQ1 2024: -6.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.8xQ4 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

HLIT has more cash than debt.

HLIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

HLIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

HLIT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHLITSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HLIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.50.5% below
20 week MA$11.69.8% below
50 week MA$11.37.6% below
100 week MA$10.71.9% below
200 week MA$11.811% below

HLIT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

HLIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.64$7.19-5.9%
2021$7.19$11.7+63%
2022$11.7$13.0+11%
2023$13.0$13.0+0.3%
2024$13.0$13.5+3.1%
2025$13.5$9.96-26%
2026 YTD$9.96$10.5+5.1%

HLIT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5.1% so far in 2026.

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