HLIT

Harmonic Inc.

62
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

HLIT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over HLIT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

HLIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

HLIT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

HLIT PE Valuation

HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

HLIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

HLIT has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

HLIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$14.74
Downside-28%$7.56

Calculated from the latest close: $10.47 on Nov 12.

HLIT trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HLIT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HLIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.45Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.36Q3 2026: $-0.41Q4 2026: $-0.30Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.45Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.36Q3 2026: $-0.41Q4 2026: $-0.30Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82—
Q3 2026-$0.30-171%
Q2 2026-$0.41-169%
Q1 2026-$0.36-180%
Q4 2025-$0.38-215%
Q3 2025$0.42-43%
Q2 2025$0.59+20%
Q1 2025$0.45-26%
Q4 2024$0.33-54%

HLIT has swung to a loss: it lost $0.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over HLIT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HLIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $196MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $142MQ4 2025: $98MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $133MQ4 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $196MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $142MQ4 2025: $98MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $133MQ4 2026: $149M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$148.8M+4.5%
Q2 2026$133.5M-3.3%
Q1 2026$121.7M-8.6%
Q4 2025$98.2M-56%
Q3 2025$142.4M-27%
Q2 2025$138M-0.5%
Q1 2025$133.1M+9.1%
Q4 2024$222.2M+33%

HLIT's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $149M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over HLIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $10MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: −$60MQ4 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $10MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: −$60MQ4 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.4M+125%
Q2 2026-$59.6M-$44.1M
Q1 2026$30.3M-63%
Q4 2025$9.6M-79%
Q3 2025$21M+267%
Q2 2025-$15.5M+$8.6M
Q1 2025$81.7M+228%
Q4 2024$46.2M+1204%

HLIT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $28M over the past year.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over HLIT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 110MQ4 2026: 110M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 110MQ4 2026: 110M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+577K shares
1 year-2.7%-3.1M shares
3 years-1.6%-1.8M shares
5 years+3.6%+3.8M shares
Available history+13%+12.8M shares

HLIT has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

HLIT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.0xQ1 2024: -6.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.8xQ4 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -2.0xQ1 2024: -6.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.8xQ4 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

HLIT has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

HLIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

HLIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

HLIT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHLITSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

HLIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.50.5% below
20 week MA$11.69.8% below
50 week MA$11.37.6% below
100 week MA$10.71.9% below
200 week MA$11.811% below

HLIT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over HLIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HLIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.64$7.19-5.9%
2021$7.19$11.7+63%
2022$11.7$13.0+11%
2023$13.0$13.0+0.3%
2024$13.0$13.5+3.1%
2025$13.5$9.96-26%
2026 YTD$9.96$10.5+5.1%

HLIT has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key