HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
HLIT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over HLIT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
HLIT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
HLIT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
HLIT PE Valuation
HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
HLIT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
HLIT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
HLIT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.30 | -171% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.41 | -169% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.36 | -180% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.38 | -215% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.42 | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.59 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.45 | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.33 | -54% |
HLIT has swung to a loss: it lost $0.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over HLIT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
HLIT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $148.8M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $133.5M | -3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $121.7M | -8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $98.2M | -56% |
| Q3 2025 | $142.4M | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $138M | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $133.1M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $222.2M | +33% |
HLIT's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $149M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | +11 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +9.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8% | -20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.8% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +18 points |
HLIT's operating margin was 18% last quarter, up 11 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over HLIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over HLIT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HLIT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47.4M | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | -$59.6M | -$44.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $30.3M | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M | -79% |
| Q3 2025 | $21M | +267% |
| Q2 2025 | -$15.5M | +$8.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $81.7M | +228% |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2M | +1204% |
HLIT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
HLIT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +577K shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -3.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.6% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | +3.6% | +3.8M shares |
| Available history | +13% | +12.8M shares |
HLIT has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $1,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $43M |
| Q4 2025 | $13.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $15.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $14M |
| Q1 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
HLIT spent $60M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 9% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
HLIT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
HLIT has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
HLIT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.5 | Oversold |
HLIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
HLIT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | HLIT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
HLIT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.5 | 0.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.6 | 9.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.3 | 7.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.7 | 1.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $11.8 | 11% below |
HLIT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over HLIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HLIT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.64 | $7.19 | -5.9% |
| 2021 | $7.19 | $11.7 | +63% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $13.0 | +11% |
| 2023 | $13.0 | $13.0 | +0.3% |
| 2024 | $13.0 | $13.5 | +3.1% |
| 2025 | $13.5 | $9.96 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.96 | $10.5 | +5.1% |
HLIT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5.1% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over HLIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.