HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
HLIT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over HLIT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
HLIT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
HLIT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
HLIT PE Valuation
HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HLIT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HLIT, with profitability improving.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HLIT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.30 | -171% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.41 | -169% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.36 | -180% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.38 | -215% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.42 | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.59 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.45 | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.33 | -54% |
HLIT has swung to a loss: it lost $0.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has the edge over HLIT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HLIT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $148.8M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $133.5M | -3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $121.7M | -8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $98.2M | -56% |
| Q3 2025 | $142.4M | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $138M | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $133.1M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $222.2M | +33% |
HLIT's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $149M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | +11 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +9.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8% | -20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.8% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +18 points |
HLIT has the edge over INTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC has the edge over HLIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HLIT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47.4M | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | -$59.6M | -$44.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $30.3M | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M | -79% |
| Q3 2025 | $21M | +267% |
| Q2 2025 | -$15.5M | +$8.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $81.7M | +228% |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2M | +1204% |
HLIT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $28M over the past year.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over HLIT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HLIT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +577K shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -3.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.6% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | +3.6% | +3.8M shares |
| Available history | +13% | +12.8M shares |
HLIT has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $1,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $43M |
| Q4 2025 | $13.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $15.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $14M |
| Q1 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
HLIT spent $60M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 9% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
HLIT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
HLIT has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
HLIT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.5 | Oversold |
HLIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
HLIT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | HLIT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HLIT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.5 | 0.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.6 | 9.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.3 | 7.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.7 | 1.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $11.8 | 11% below |
HLIT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has the edge over HLIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HLIT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.64 | $7.19 | -5.9% |
| 2021 | $7.19 | $11.7 | +63% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $13.0 | +11% |
| 2023 | $13.0 | $13.0 | +0.3% |
| 2024 | $13.0 | $13.5 | +3.1% |
| 2025 | $13.5 | $9.96 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.96 | $10.5 | +5.1% |
HLIT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5.1% so far in 2026.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over HLIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.