HGTY
Hagerty, Inc.
HGTY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over HGTY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
HGTY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HGTY's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HGTY.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
HGTY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $15.80 | — |
| Cheap | 43x | $2.60 | -84% |
| Fair | 50x | $3.00 | -81% |
| Expensive | 138x | $8.26 | -48% |
| Current | 244x | $15.80 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HGTY's PE is in its expensive range at 244x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over HGTY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HGTY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
HGTY has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
HGTY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.53 | +775% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.06 | -79% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.20 | -4.8% |
HGTY earned $0.06 per share over the past year, down 79% from the year before.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over HGTY in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
HGTY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $354.2M | -6.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $354.8M | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.8M | -2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $357.3M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $380M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $368.7M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $319.6M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $291.7M | +19% |
HGTY's revenue has held roughly level: $354M last quarter, down 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +2.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7% | -15 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.1% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1% | +4.7 points |
HGTY's operating margin was 12% last quarter, up 2.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over HGTY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HGTY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $86.4M | +1.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $161.7M | +239% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.5M | -78% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.1M | +$39.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $85.2M | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.7M | -16% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.4M | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | -$16.7M | -$13.3M |
HGTY has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
HGTY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -3.1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -2.3M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +3.8M shares |
| 5 years | +1065% | +314M shares |
HGTY has 344M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over HGTY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
HGTY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.0x | Very low |
HGTY has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
HGTY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.7 | Neutral |
HGTY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
HGTY PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HGTY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 244x | 13x | 1,776% above |
| PE % | 99 | 66 | 33 pts above |
HGTY is trading at 244x earnings, a 1776% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM has the edge over HGTY on valuation relative to its sector.
HGTY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.2 | 3.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.8 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.4 | 27% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.4 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.4 | 52% above |
HGTY has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
HGTY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.77 | $13.7 | +40% |
| 2022 | $13.7 | $7.95 | -42% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $7.80 | -1.9% |
| 2024 | $7.80 | $9.83 | +26% |
| 2025 | $9.83 | $13.8 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.8 | $15.8 | +14% |
HGTY has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.