HGTY

Hagerty, Inc.

44
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

HGTY's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 244x earnings, about five times its usual 50x. Its downside scenario is more than ten times its upside.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

HGTY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

HGTY's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HGTY.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

HGTY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$15.80—
Cheap43x$2.60-84%
Fair50x$3.00-81%
Expensive138x$8.26-48%
Current244x$15.80—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HGTY's PE is in its expensive range at 244x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HGTY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

HGTY has the edge over IREN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HGTY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+5%$16.63
Downside-59%$6.53

Calculated from the latest close: $15.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HGTY and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HGTY and IREN's risk to reward.

HGTY Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.53+775%
Q3 2026$0.06-79%
Q2 2026$0.09-57%
Q1 2026$0.20-4.8%

HGTY has the edge over IREN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HGTY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$354.2M-6.8%
Q2 2026$354.8M-3.8%
Q1 2026$311.8M-2.4%
Q4 2025$357.3M+22%
Q3 2025$380M+18%
Q2 2025$368.7M+18%
Q1 2025$319.6M+18%
Q4 2024$291.7M+19%

HGTY's revenue has held roughly level: $354M last quarter, down 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN has the edge over HGTY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HGTY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.4M+1.4%
Q2 2026$161.7M+239%
Q1 2026$8.5M-78%
Q4 2025$23.1M+$39.7M
Q3 2025$85.2M+37%
Q2 2025$47.7M-16%
Q1 2025$38.4M-28%
Q4 2024-$16.7M-$13.3M

HGTY has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was −$2.5B over the past year, against −$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

HGTY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-3.1M shares
1 year-0.7%-2.3M shares
3 years+1.1%+3.8M shares
5 years+1065%+314M shares

HGTY has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

HGTY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

HGTY has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HGTY.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

HGTY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.8Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

HGTY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

HGTY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHGTYSector medianRelative
PE244x13x1,776% above
PE %996633 pts above

HGTY is trading at 244x earnings, a 1776% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HGTY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.23.9% above
20 week MA$13.815% above
50 week MA$12.427% above
100 week MA$11.438% above
200 week MA$10.452% above

HGTY has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

HGTY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.77$13.7+40%
2022$13.7$7.95-42%
2023$7.95$7.80-1.9%
2024$7.80$9.83+26%
2025$9.83$13.8+41%
2026 YTD$13.8$15.8+14%

HGTY has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to −93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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