HGTY

Hagerty, Inc.

44
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

HGTY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over HGTY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

HGTY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

HGTY's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HGTY.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

HGTY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$15.80—
Cheap43x$2.60-84%
Fair50x$3.00-81%
Expensive138x$8.26-48%
Current244x$15.80—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HGTY's PE is in its expensive range at 244x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over HGTY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HGTY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HGTY to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HGTY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+5%$16.63
Downside-59%$6.53

Calculated from the latest close: $15.80 on Nov 12.

HGTY trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HGTY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HGTY Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.53+775%
Q3 2026$0.06-79%
Q2 2026$0.09-57%
Q1 2026$0.20-4.8%

HGTY earned $0.06 per share over the past year, down 79% from the year before.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over HGTY in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

HGTY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$354.2M-6.8%
Q2 2026$354.8M-3.8%
Q1 2026$311.8M-2.4%
Q4 2025$357.3M+22%
Q3 2025$380M+18%
Q2 2025$368.7M+18%
Q1 2025$319.6M+18%
Q4 2024$291.7M+19%

HGTY's revenue has held roughly level: $354M last quarter, down 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over HGTY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HGTY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.4M+1.4%
Q2 2026$161.7M+239%
Q1 2026$8.5M-78%
Q4 2025$23.1M+$39.7M
Q3 2025$85.2M+37%
Q2 2025$47.7M-16%
Q1 2025$38.4M-28%
Q4 2024-$16.7M-$13.3M

HGTY's free cash flow was $280M over the past year, up 81% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HGTY.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over HGTY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HGTY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-3.1M shares
1 year-0.7%-2.3M shares
3 years+1.1%+3.8M shares
5 years+1065%+314M shares

HGTY has 344M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over HGTY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HGTY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

HGTY has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

HGTY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.8Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

HGTY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

HGTY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHGTYSector medianRelative
PE244x13x1,776% above
PE %996633 pts above

HGTY is trading at 244x earnings, a 1776% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD has the edge over HGTY on valuation relative to its sector.

HGTY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.23.9% above
20 week MA$13.815% above
50 week MA$12.427% above
100 week MA$11.438% above
200 week MA$10.452% above

HGTY has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

HGTY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.77$13.7+40%
2022$13.7$7.95-42%
2023$7.95$7.80-1.9%
2024$7.80$9.83+26%
2025$9.83$13.8+41%
2026 YTD$13.8$15.8+14%

HGTY has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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