HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.
HG offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over HG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
HG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HG.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
HG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $27.30 | -30% |
| Fair | 6.2x | $32.22 | -17% |
| Expensive | 6.8x | $35.17 | -9.2% |
| Current | 7.4x | $38.74 | — |
| Forward | 8.3x | $38.74 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HG has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
HG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HG, with profitability holding steady.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over HG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
HG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.67 | -10% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.21 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.72 | +57% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.09 | +99% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.55 | +51% |
HG has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
HG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $828M | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $839.6M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $758.9M | -1.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $728.3M | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $667.7M | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $740.8M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $768.8M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $570.5M | +15% |
HG has the edge over JPM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | -5.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 29% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 27% | +15 points |
| Q2 2025 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -18 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -7 points |
HG's operating margin was 27% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over HG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.2M | -9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $125.3M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | $100.8M | +189% |
| Q4 2025 | $293.4M | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $295.6M | +84% |
| Q2 2025 | $218.4M | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $34.9M | -78% |
| Q4 2024 | $284.1M | +701% |
HG has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
HG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -178K shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -3.7M shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -9.1M shares |
HG has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $22.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $33.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $40.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $35M |
| Q1 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $27M |
HG spent $79M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 34% from the year before.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
HG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
HG has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
HG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.2 | Neutral |
HG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
HG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.4x | 13x | 43% below |
| PE % | 100 | 40 | 60 pts above |
HG has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.7 | 8.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $35.4 | 9.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $32.0 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $26.8 | 45% above |
HG has stronger trend alignment. HG is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus JPM above 4 of 5.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
HG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $15.2 | $15.0 | -1.6% |
| 2024 | $15.0 | $18.7 | +25% |
| 2025 | $18.7 | $28.2 | +51% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.2 | $38.7 | +37% |
HG has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.