HG

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.

54
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

HG's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 15% and its operating margin rose 2 points to 28%. At 7.4x earnings, it's trading above its usual 6.2x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

HG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

HG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HG.

HG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.9x3.9x5.8x7.7x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.9x3.9x5.8x7.7x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$27.30-30%
Fair6.2x$32.22-17%
Expensive6.8x$35.17-9.2%
Current7.4x$38.74—
Forward8.3x$38.74—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HG's PE is in its expensive range at 7.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.3x.

HG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HG, with profitability holding steady.

HG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$44.42
Downside-23%$29.66

Calculated from the latest close: $38.74 on Nov 12.

HG's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −23% against +15%.

HG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $3.67Q1 2025: $3.06Q2 2025: $3.65Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.09Q2 2026: $5.72Q3 2026: $5.21Forward: $4.67
Q4 2024: $3.67Q1 2025: $3.06Q2 2025: $3.65Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.09Q2 2026: $5.72Q3 2026: $5.21Forward: $4.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.67-10%
Q3 2026$5.21+23%
Q2 2026$5.72+57%
Q1 2026$6.09+99%
Q4 2025$5.55+51%

HG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.21 over the past year, up 23% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2024.

HG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $659MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $513MQ4 2024: $570MQ1 2025: $769MQ2 2025: $741MQ3 2025: $668MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $759MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $828M
Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $659MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $513MQ4 2024: $570MQ1 2025: $769MQ2 2025: $741MQ3 2025: $668MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $759MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $828M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$828M+24%
Q2 2026$839.6M+13%
Q1 2026$758.9M-1.3%
Q4 2025$728.3M+28%
Q3 2025$667.7M+30%
Q2 2025$740.8M+26%
Q1 2025$768.8M+17%
Q4 2024$570.5M+15%

HG's revenue is growing: $828M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

HG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $284MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $284MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267.2M-9.6%
Q2 2026$125.3M-43%
Q1 2026$100.8M+189%
Q4 2025$293.4M+3.3%
Q3 2025$295.6M+84%
Q2 2025$218.4M+40%
Q1 2025$34.9M-78%
Q4 2024$284.1M+701%

HG's free cash flow was $787M over the past year, down 5.5% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HG.

HG Total Shares

Q1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 110MQ3 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 101MQ3 2026: 101M
Q1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 110MQ3 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 101MQ3 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-178K shares
1 year-3.5%-3.7M shares
3 years-8.3%-9.1M shares

HG has 101M diluted shares, down 3.5% from a year ago, with $79M in buybacks over the past year.

HG Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

HG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HG.

HG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic74.2Neutral

HG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

HG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHGSector medianRelative
PE7.4x13x43% below
PE %1004060 pts above

HG is trading at 7.4x earnings, a 43% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.78.7% above
20 week MA$35.49.3% above
50 week MA$32.021% above
100 week MA$26.845% above

HG is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 100-week average.

HG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$15.2$15.0-1.6%
2024$15.0$18.7+25%
2025$18.7$28.2+51%
2026 YTD$28.2$38.7+37%

HG has finished higher in two of the last three years. It's up 37% so far in 2026.

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