HG

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.

54
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

HG's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 15% and its operating margin rose 2 points to 28%. At 7.4x earnings, it's trading above its usual 6.2x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

HG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

HG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HG.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

HG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.9x3.9x5.8x7.7x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.9x3.9x5.8x7.7x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$27.30-30%
Fair6.2x$32.22-17%
Expensive6.8x$35.17-9.2%
Current7.4x$38.74—
Forward8.3x$38.74—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HG's PE is in its expensive range at 7.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.3x.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HG, with profitability holding steady.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$44.42
Downside-23%$29.66

Calculated from the latest close: $38.74 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HG and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare HG and IREN's risk to reward.

HG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $3.67Q1 2025: $3.06Q2 2025: $3.65Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.09Q2 2026: $5.72Q3 2026: $5.21Forward: $4.67
Q4 2024: $3.67Q1 2025: $3.06Q2 2025: $3.65Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.09Q2 2026: $5.72Q3 2026: $5.21Forward: $4.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.67-10%
Q3 2026$5.21+23%
Q2 2026$5.72+57%
Q1 2026$6.09+99%
Q4 2025$5.55+51%

HG has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $659MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $513MQ4 2024: $570MQ1 2025: $769MQ2 2025: $741MQ3 2025: $668MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $759MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $828M
Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $659MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $513MQ4 2024: $570MQ1 2025: $769MQ2 2025: $741MQ3 2025: $668MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $759MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $828M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$828M+24%
Q2 2026$839.6M+13%
Q1 2026$758.9M-1.3%
Q4 2025$728.3M+28%
Q3 2025$667.7M+30%
Q2 2025$740.8M+26%
Q1 2025$768.8M+17%
Q4 2024$570.5M+15%

HG's revenue is growing: $828M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

HG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $284MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $284MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267.2M-9.6%
Q2 2026$125.3M-43%
Q1 2026$100.8M+189%
Q4 2025$293.4M+3.3%
Q3 2025$295.6M+84%
Q2 2025$218.4M+40%
Q1 2025$34.9M-78%
Q4 2024$284.1M+701%

HG has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was −$2.5B over the past year, against −$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

HG Total Shares

Q1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 110MQ3 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 101MQ3 2026: 101M
Q1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 110MQ3 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 101MQ3 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-178K shares
1 year-3.5%-3.7M shares
3 years-8.3%-9.1M shares

HG has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

HG Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

HG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HG.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

HG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic74.2Neutral

HG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

HG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHGSector medianRelative
PE7.4x13x43% below
PE %1004060 pts above

HG is trading at 7.4x earnings, a 43% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.78.7% above
20 week MA$35.49.3% above
50 week MA$32.021% above
100 week MA$26.845% above

HG has stronger trend alignment. HG is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus IREN above 1 of 5.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

HG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$15.2$15.0-1.6%
2024$15.0$18.7+25%
2025$18.7$28.2+51%
2026 YTD$28.2$38.7+37%

HG has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to −93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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