HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.
HG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over HG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
HG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HG.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
HG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $27.30 | -30% |
| Fair | 6.2x | $32.22 | -17% |
| Expensive | 6.8x | $35.17 | -9.2% |
| Current | 7.4x | $38.74 | — |
| Forward | 8.3x | $38.74 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HG has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
HG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HG, with profitability holding steady.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over HG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
HG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.67 | -10% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.21 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.72 | +57% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.09 | +99% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.55 | +51% |
HG has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
HG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $828M | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $839.6M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $758.9M | -1.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $728.3M | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $667.7M | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $740.8M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $768.8M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $570.5M | +15% |
HG's revenue is growing: $828M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | -5.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 29% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 27% | +15 points |
| Q2 2025 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -18 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -7 points |
HG's operating margin was 27% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over HG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over HG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.2M | -9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $125.3M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | $100.8M | +189% |
| Q4 2025 | $293.4M | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $295.6M | +84% |
| Q2 2025 | $218.4M | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $34.9M | -78% |
| Q4 2024 | $284.1M | +701% |
HG's free cash flow was $787M over the past year, down 5.5% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HG.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
HG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -178K shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -3.7M shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -9.1M shares |
HG has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $22.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $33.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $40.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $35M |
| Q1 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $27M |
HG spent $79M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 34% from the year before.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
HG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
HG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HG.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over HG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.2 | Neutral |
HG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
HG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.4x | 13x | 43% below |
| PE % | 100 | 40 | 60 pts above |
HG has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.7 | 8.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $35.4 | 9.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $32.0 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $26.8 | 45% above |
HG has stronger trend alignment. HG is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus HOOD above 1 of 5.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
HG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $15.2 | $15.0 | -1.6% |
| 2024 | $15.0 | $18.7 | +25% |
| 2025 | $18.7 | $28.2 | +51% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.2 | $38.7 | +37% |
HG has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.