HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
HD has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
HD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
HD's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
HD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $275 | -21% |
| Forward | 22x | $348 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $334 | -4.1% |
| Current | 24x | $348 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $372 | +6.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HD has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect HD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over HD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
HD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.68 | +9.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $14.29 | -2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.08 | -4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.23 | -4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.66 | -0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.71 | -1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.73 | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.91 | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.73 | -5.5% |
HD has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
HD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47.9B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $41.8B | +4.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $38.2B | -3.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $41.4B | +2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.3B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.9B | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.7B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.2B | +6.6% |
HD has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.9 points |
HD has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
HD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.2B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | -8.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.6B | -7.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.4B | -4.2% |
HD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $15.1B over the past year, up 6.1% from the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA has the edge over HD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +2M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -7M shares |
| 5 years | -6.2% | -66M shares |
| Available history | -9% | -98M shares |
HD has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $649M |
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
HD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
HD's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over HD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.1 | Neutral |
HD's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
HD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 35% above |
| PE % | 66 | 47 | 19 pts above |
HD has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $314.7 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $325.6 | 7% above |
| 50 week MA | $337.9 | 3.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $359.2 | 3% below |
| 200 week MA | $349.2 | 0.3% below |
HD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 0.3% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over HD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $220.0 | $270.9 | +23% |
| 2021 | $270.9 | $397.1 | +47% |
| 2022 | $397.1 | $318.7 | -20% |
| 2023 | $318.7 | $346.6 | +8.7% |
| 2024 | $346.6 | $392.9 | +13% |
| 2025 | $392.9 | $349.8 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $349.8 | $348.3 | -0.4% |
HD has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.