HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
HD's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 8.9% of its revenue into free cash flow, while its operating margin held steady at 12%. At 24x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
HD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
HD's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
HD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $275 | -21% |
| Forward | 22x | $348 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $334 | -4.1% |
| Current | 24x | $348 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $372 | +6.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HD's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect HD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
HD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.70 | +9.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $14.29 | -2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.08 | -4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.23 | -4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.66 | -0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.71 | -1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.73 | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.91 | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.73 | -5.5% |
HD earned $14.29 per share over the past year, down 2.9% from the year before.
HD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47.9B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $41.8B | +4.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $38.2B | -3.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $41.4B | +2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.3B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.9B | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.7B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.2B | +6.6% |
HD's revenue has held roughly level: $47.9B last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.9 points |
HD's operating margin was 14% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
HD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.2B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | -8.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.6B | -7.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.4B | -4.2% |
HD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $15.1B over the past year, up 6.1% from the year before.
HD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +2M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -7M shares |
| 5 years | -6.2% | -66M shares |
| Available history | -9% | -98M shares |
HD has 996M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $649M |
HD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
HD's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
HD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.1 | Neutral |
HD's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
HD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 35% above |
| PE % | 66 | 47 | 19 pts above |
HD is trading at 24x earnings, a 35% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $314.7 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $325.6 | 7% above |
| 50 week MA | $337.9 | 3.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $359.2 | 3% below |
| 200 week MA | $349.2 | 0.3% below |
HD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 0.3% below its 200-week average.
HD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $220.0 | $270.9 | +23% |
| 2021 | $270.9 | $397.1 | +47% |
| 2022 | $397.1 | $318.7 | -20% |
| 2023 | $318.7 | $346.6 | +8.7% |
| 2024 | $346.6 | $392.9 | +13% |
| 2025 | $392.9 | $349.8 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $349.8 | $348.3 | -0.4% |
HD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.