GXO
GXO Logistics, Inc.
GXO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over GXO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
GXO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
GXO's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
GXO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $54.33 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $33.62 | -38% |
| Fair | 41x | $47.10 | -13% |
| Current | 47x | $54.33 | — |
| Expensive | 75x | $86.46 | +59% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GXO's PE is in its fair range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over GXO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GXO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GXO, with profitability improving.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.
GXO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.45 | +197% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.16 | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.11 | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.12 | +81% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.28 | -75% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.76 | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.53 | -55% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.62 | -56% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.12 | -42% |
GXO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.16 over the past year, against $1.92 in late 2023.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over GXO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GXO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.6B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.5B | +7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.4B | +7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.3B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $3B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | +25% |
GXO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $3.6B last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7% | -0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1% | -0.3 points |
GXO's operating margin was 2.7% last quarter, down 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over GXO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over GXO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GXO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82M | -6.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $11M | +$55M |
| Q1 2026 | -$34M | +$15M |
| Q4 2025 | $115M | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $88M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | -$44M | -263% |
| Q1 2025 | -$49M | -$26M |
| Q4 2024 | $82M | -44% |
GXO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $174M over the past year.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over GXO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GXO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -693K shares |
| 3 years | -4.2% | -5M shares |
| 5 years | -1.2% | -1.4M shares |
| Available history | 0% | +33.9K shares |
GXO has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84M |
| Q2 2026 | $18M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $94M |
| Q1 2025 | $106M |
| Q1 2021 | — |
GXO spent $102M buying back its own shares over the past year.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
GXO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
GXO's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over GXO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GXO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.7 | Neutral |
GXO's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
GXO PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | GXO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47x | 24x | 95% above |
| PE % | 65 | 63 | 2 pts above |
GXO is trading at 47x earnings, a 95% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT has the edge over GXO on valuation relative to its sector.
GXO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $49.2 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $49.2 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $52.3 | 3.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $49.0 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $51.9 | 4.7% above |
GXO has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
GXO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $60.0 | $91.8 | +53% |
| 2022 | $91.8 | $43.0 | -53% |
| 2023 | $43.0 | $61.2 | +42% |
| 2024 | $61.2 | $42.8 | -30% |
| 2025 | $42.8 | $53.8 | +26% |
| 2026 YTD | $53.8 | $54.3 | +1% |
GXO has finished higher in three of the last five years. It's up 1% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over GXO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.