GXO

GXO Logistics, Inc.

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GXO's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow more than doubled, while its operating margin held steady at 2.2%. At 47x earnings, it's trading above its usual 41x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

GXO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

GXO's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GXO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x117x175x233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x117x175x233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$54.33—
Cheap29x$33.62-38%
Fair41x$47.10-13%
Current47x$54.33—
Expensive75x$86.46+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GXO's PE is in its fair range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GXO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GXO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GXO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$71.03
Downside-16%$45.60

Calculated from the latest close: $54.33 on Nov 12.

GXO's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +31% against −16%.

GXO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.92Q1 2024: $1.40Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $1.12Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.76Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.11Q3 2026: $1.16Forward: $3.44
Q4 2023: $1.92Q1 2024: $1.40Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $1.12Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.76Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.11Q3 2026: $1.16Forward: $3.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.44+197%
Q3 2026$1.16+53%
Q2 2026$1.11+109%
Q1 2026$1.12+81%
Q4 2025$0.28-75%
Q3 2025$0.76-16%
Q2 2025$0.53-55%
Q1 2025$0.62-56%
Q4 2024$1.12-42%

GXO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.16 over the past year, against $1.92 in late 2023.

GXO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.6B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.6B+5.7%
Q2 2026$3.4B+4.3%
Q1 2026$3.3B+11%
Q4 2025$3.5B+7.9%
Q3 2025$3.4B+7.5%
Q2 2025$3.3B+16%
Q1 2025$3B+21%
Q4 2024$3.3B+25%

GXO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $3.6B last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

GXO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: −$49MQ2 2025: −$44MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: −$49MQ2 2025: −$44MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82M-6.8%
Q2 2026$11M+$55M
Q1 2026-$34M+$15M
Q4 2025$115M+40%
Q3 2025$88M-15%
Q2 2025-$44M-263%
Q1 2025-$49M-$26M
Q4 2024$82M-44%

GXO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $174M over the past year.

GXO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 119MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 119MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 115M
Q4 2023: 119MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 119MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 115M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.1M shares
1 year-0.6%-693K shares
3 years-4.2%-5M shares
5 years-1.2%-1.4M shares
Available history0%+33.9K shares

GXO has 115M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago, with $102M in buybacks over the past year.

GXO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated

GXO's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

GXO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic73.7Neutral

GXO's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

GXO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGXOSector medianRelative
PE47x24x95% above
PE %65632 pts above

GXO is trading at 47x earnings, a 95% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

GXO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.210% above
20 week MA$49.210% above
50 week MA$52.33.9% above
100 week MA$49.011% above
200 week MA$51.94.7% above

GXO has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 4.7% above its 200-week average.

GXO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$60.0$91.8+53%
2022$91.8$43.0-53%
2023$43.0$61.2+42%
2024$61.2$42.8-30%
2025$42.8$53.8+26%
2026 YTD$53.8$54.3+1%

GXO has finished higher in three of the last five years. It's up 1% so far in 2026.

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