GTX
Garrett Motion Inc.
GTX has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GTX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
GTX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GTX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 2.2x | $4.29 | -80% |
| Fair | 8.1x | $15.86 | -26% |
| Expensive | 11x | $21.61 | +0.5% |
| Current | 11x | $21.50 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $21.50 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GTX's PE is in its expensive range at 11.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.6x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GTX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over GTX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GTX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.04 | +4.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.95 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.82 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.71 | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.52 | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.57 | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.43 | +42% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.29 | +$2.44 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.27 | +$2.57 |
GTX has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
GTX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $930M | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $976M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $985M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $891M | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $902M | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $913M | +2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $878M | -4% |
| Q4 2024 | $844M | -11% |
GTX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $930M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +4.5 points |
GTX has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over GTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
GTX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $120M | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $128M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $69M | +130% |
| Q4 2025 | $78M | -28% |
| Q3 2025 | $90M | +91% |
| Q2 2025 | $143M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $30M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $109M | 0% |
GTX has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
GTX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.5M shares |
| 1 year | -6.5% | -13.1M shares |
| 3 years | +76% | +81.6M shares |
| 5 years | +149% | +113M shares |
| Available history | +149% | +113M shares |
GTX has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $57M |
| Q2 2026 | $28M |
| Q1 2026 | $87M |
| Q4 2025 | $72M |
| Q3 2025 | $84M |
| Q2 2025 | $22M |
| Q1 2025 | $30M |
| Q4 2024 | $70M |
GTX spent $244M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GTX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
GTX's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GTX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.0 | Oversold |
GTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
GTX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GTX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 39% below |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
GTX is trading at 11x earnings, a 39% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GTX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.5 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $27.0 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.3 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.9 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $13.1 | 64% above |
GTX has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
GTX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.2 | $5.25 | -49% |
| 2021 | $5.25 | $7.50 | +43% |
| 2022 | $7.50 | $7.85 | +4.7% |
| 2023 | $7.85 | $9.67 | +23% |
| 2024 | $9.67 | $8.96 | -7.3% |
| 2025 | $8.96 | $17.4 | +95% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.4 | $21.5 | +23% |
GTX has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.