GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

59
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GTX's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 11x earnings, above its usual 8.1x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

GTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

GTX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

GTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.3x11x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.3x11x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.2x$4.29-80%
Fair8.1x$15.86-26%
Expensive11x$21.61+0.5%
Current11x$21.50—
Forward11x$21.50—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTX's PE is in its expensive range at 11.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.6x next year's earnings.

GTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$29.50
Downside-18%$17.60

Calculated from the latest close: $21.50 on Nov 12.

GTX's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +37% against −18%.

GTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.29Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.57Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.82Q3 2026: $1.95Forward: $2.04
Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.29Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.57Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.82Q3 2026: $1.95Forward: $2.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.04+4.5%
Q3 2026$1.95+24%
Q2 2026$1.82+27%
Q1 2026$1.71+33%
Q4 2025$1.52+20%
Q3 2025$1.57+54%
Q2 2025$1.43+42%
Q1 2025$1.29+$2.44
Q4 2024$1.27+$2.57

GTX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.95 over the past year, against $4.12 in late 2019.

GTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $945MQ1 2024: $915MQ2 2024: $890MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $878MQ2 2025: $913MQ3 2025: $902MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: $985MQ2 2026: $976MQ3 2026: $930M
Q4 2023: $945MQ1 2024: $915MQ2 2024: $890MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $878MQ2 2025: $913MQ3 2025: $902MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: $985MQ2 2026: $976MQ3 2026: $930M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$930M+3.1%
Q2 2026$976M+6.9%
Q1 2026$985M+12%
Q4 2025$891M+5.6%
Q3 2025$902M+9.2%
Q2 2025$913M+2.6%
Q1 2025$878M-4%
Q4 2024$844M-11%

GTX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $930M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $143MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $128MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $143MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $128MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$120M+33%
Q2 2026$128M-10%
Q1 2026$69M+130%
Q4 2025$78M-28%
Q3 2025$90M+91%
Q2 2025$143M+31%
Q1 2025$30M-42%
Q4 2024$109M0%

GTX generated $395M in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.2% from the year before.

GTX Total Shares

Q1 2024: 239MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 208MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 202MQ4 2025: 204MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 189M
Q1 2024: 239MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 208MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 202MQ4 2025: 204MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.5M shares
1 year-6.5%-13.1M shares
3 years+76%+81.6M shares
5 years+149%+113M shares
Available history+149%+113M shares

GTX has 189M diluted shares, down 6.5% from a year ago, with $244M in buybacks over the past year.

GTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

GTX's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

GTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

GTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

GTX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGTXSector medianRelative
PE11x18x39% below
PE %824735 pts above

GTX is trading at 11x earnings, a 39% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.58.3% below
20 week MA$27.020% below
50 week MA$24.311% below
100 week MA$17.920% above
200 week MA$13.164% above

GTX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 64% above its 200-week average.

GTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$5.25-49%
2021$5.25$7.50+43%
2022$7.50$7.85+4.7%
2023$7.85$9.67+23%
2024$9.67$8.96-7.3%
2025$8.96$17.4+95%
2026 YTD$17.4$21.5+23%

GTX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 23% so far in 2026.

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