GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

59
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GTX offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has a slight edge over GTX overall, supported by stronger valuation.

GTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

GTX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

GTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.3x11x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.3x11x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.2x$4.29-80%
Fair8.1x$15.86-26%
Expensive11x$21.61+0.5%
Current11x$21.50—
Forward11x$21.50—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTX's PE is in its expensive range at 11.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.6x next year's earnings.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over GTX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

GTX has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$29.50
Downside-18%$17.60

Calculated from the latest close: $21.50 on Nov 12.

GTX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails GTX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.29Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.57Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.82Q3 2026: $1.95Forward: $2.04
Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.29Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.57Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.82Q3 2026: $1.95Forward: $2.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.04+4.5%
Q3 2026$1.95+24%
Q2 2026$1.82+27%
Q1 2026$1.71+33%
Q4 2025$1.52+20%
Q3 2025$1.57+54%
Q2 2025$1.43+42%
Q1 2025$1.29+$2.44
Q4 2024$1.27+$2.57

GTX has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

GTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $945MQ1 2024: $915MQ2 2024: $890MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $878MQ2 2025: $913MQ3 2025: $902MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: $985MQ2 2026: $976MQ3 2026: $930M
Q4 2023: $945MQ1 2024: $915MQ2 2024: $890MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $878MQ2 2025: $913MQ3 2025: $902MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: $985MQ2 2026: $976MQ3 2026: $930M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$930M+3.1%
Q2 2026$976M+6.9%
Q1 2026$985M+12%
Q4 2025$891M+5.6%
Q3 2025$902M+9.2%
Q2 2025$913M+2.6%
Q1 2025$878M-4%
Q4 2024$844M-11%

GTX has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $143MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $128MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $143MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $128MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$120M+33%
Q2 2026$128M-10%
Q1 2026$69M+130%
Q4 2025$78M-28%
Q3 2025$90M+91%
Q2 2025$143M+31%
Q1 2025$30M-42%
Q4 2024$109M0%

GTX has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

GTX Total Shares

Q1 2024: 239MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 208MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 202MQ4 2025: 204MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 189M
Q1 2024: 239MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 208MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 202MQ4 2025: 204MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.5M shares
1 year-6.5%-13.1M shares
3 years+76%+81.6M shares
5 years+149%+113M shares
Available history+149%+113M shares

GTX has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

GTX's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over GTX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

GTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

GTX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGTXSector medianRelative
PE11x18x39% below
PE %824735 pts above

GTX has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.58.3% below
20 week MA$27.020% below
50 week MA$24.311% below
100 week MA$17.920% above
200 week MA$13.164% above

GTX has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

GTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$5.25-49%
2021$5.25$7.50+43%
2022$7.50$7.85+4.7%
2023$7.85$9.67+23%
2024$9.67$8.96-7.3%
2025$8.96$17.4+95%
2026 YTD$17.4$21.5+23%

GTX has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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