GTX
Garrett Motion Inc.
GTX has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GTX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
GTX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GTX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 2.2x | $4.29 | -80% |
| Fair | 8.1x | $15.86 | -26% |
| Expensive | 11x | $21.61 | +0.5% |
| Current | 11x | $21.50 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $21.50 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GTX's PE is in its expensive range at 11.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.6x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GTX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over GTX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GTX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.04 | +4.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.95 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.82 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.71 | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.52 | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.57 | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.43 | +42% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.29 | +$2.44 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.27 | +$2.57 |
GTX has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
GTX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $930M | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $976M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $985M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $891M | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $902M | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $913M | +2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $878M | -4% |
| Q4 2024 | $844M | -11% |
GTX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $930M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +4.5 points |
GTX has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over GTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GTX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $120M | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $128M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $69M | +130% |
| Q4 2025 | $78M | -28% |
| Q3 2025 | $90M | +91% |
| Q2 2025 | $143M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $30M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $109M | 0% |
GTX generated $395M in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.2% from the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
GTX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.5M shares |
| 1 year | -6.5% | -13.1M shares |
| 3 years | +76% | +81.6M shares |
| 5 years | +149% | +113M shares |
| Available history | +149% | +113M shares |
GTX has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $57M |
| Q2 2026 | $28M |
| Q1 2026 | $87M |
| Q4 2025 | $72M |
| Q3 2025 | $84M |
| Q2 2025 | $22M |
| Q1 2025 | $30M |
| Q4 2024 | $70M |
GTX spent $244M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
GTX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
GTX's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GTX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.0 | Oversold |
GTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GTX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GTX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 39% below |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
GTX is trading at 11x earnings, a 39% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GTX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.5 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $27.0 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.3 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.9 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $13.1 | 64% above |
GTX has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
GTX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.2 | $5.25 | -49% |
| 2021 | $5.25 | $7.50 | +43% |
| 2022 | $7.50 | $7.85 | +4.7% |
| 2023 | $7.85 | $9.67 | +23% |
| 2024 | $9.67 | $8.96 | -7.3% |
| 2025 | $8.96 | $17.4 | +95% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.4 | $21.5 | +23% |
GTX has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.