GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

59
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GTX has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

GTX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.3x11x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.3x11x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.2x$4.29-80%
Fair8.1x$15.86-26%
Expensive11x$21.61+0.5%
Current11x$21.50—
Forward11x$21.50—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTX's PE is in its expensive range at 11.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.6x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$29.50
Downside-18%$17.60

Calculated from the latest close: $21.50 on Nov 12.

GTX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails GTX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.29Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.57Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.82Q3 2026: $1.95Forward: $2.04
Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.29Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.57Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.82Q3 2026: $1.95Forward: $2.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.04+4.5%
Q3 2026$1.95+24%
Q2 2026$1.82+27%
Q1 2026$1.71+33%
Q4 2025$1.52+20%
Q3 2025$1.57+54%
Q2 2025$1.43+42%
Q1 2025$1.29+$2.44
Q4 2024$1.27+$2.57

GTX has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

GTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $945MQ1 2024: $915MQ2 2024: $890MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $878MQ2 2025: $913MQ3 2025: $902MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: $985MQ2 2026: $976MQ3 2026: $930M
Q4 2023: $945MQ1 2024: $915MQ2 2024: $890MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $878MQ2 2025: $913MQ3 2025: $902MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: $985MQ2 2026: $976MQ3 2026: $930M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$930M+3.1%
Q2 2026$976M+6.9%
Q1 2026$985M+12%
Q4 2025$891M+5.6%
Q3 2025$902M+9.2%
Q2 2025$913M+2.6%
Q1 2025$878M-4%
Q4 2024$844M-11%

GTX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $930M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over GTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $143MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $128MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $143MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $128MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$120M+33%
Q2 2026$128M-10%
Q1 2026$69M+130%
Q4 2025$78M-28%
Q3 2025$90M+91%
Q2 2025$143M+31%
Q1 2025$30M-42%
Q4 2024$109M0%

GTX has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

GTX Total Shares

Q1 2024: 239MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 208MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 202MQ4 2025: 204MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 189M
Q1 2024: 239MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 208MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 202MQ4 2025: 204MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.5M shares
1 year-6.5%-13.1M shares
3 years+76%+81.6M shares
5 years+149%+113M shares
Available history+149%+113M shares

GTX has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

GTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

GTX's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

GTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

GTX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGTXSector medianRelative
PE11x18x39% below
PE %824735 pts above

GTX is trading at 11x earnings, a 39% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.58.3% below
20 week MA$27.020% below
50 week MA$24.311% below
100 week MA$17.920% above
200 week MA$13.164% above

GTX has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

GTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$5.25-49%
2021$5.25$7.50+43%
2022$7.50$7.85+4.7%
2023$7.85$9.67+23%
2024$9.67$8.96-7.3%
2025$8.96$17.4+95%
2026 YTD$17.4$21.5+23%

GTX has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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