GTES

Gates Industrial Corporation plc

67
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GTES has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over GTES overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GTES Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

GTES's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

GTES PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$25.35—
Cheap15x$20.85-18%
Current18x$25.35—
Fair20x$28.21+11%
Expensive31x$44.49+76%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTES's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over GTES in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GTES Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GTES, with profitability improving.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

GTES Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$33.85
Downside-14%$21.70

Calculated from the latest close: $25.35 on Nov 12.

GTES trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GTES, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GTES Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.84Q1 2024: $0.90Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $1.89
Q4 2023: $0.84Q1 2024: $0.90Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $1.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.89+32%
Q3 2026$1.43+55%
Q2 2026$1.40+77%
Q1 2026$0.95+14%
Q4 2025$0.96+30%
Q3 2025$0.92+12%
Q2 2025$0.79-15%
Q1 2025$0.83-7.8%
Q4 2024$0.74-12%

GTES's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.43 over the past year, against $2.34 in late 2019.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over GTES on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTES Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $863MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $886MQ3 2024: $831MQ4 2024: $829MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $884MQ3 2025: $856MQ4 2025: $856MQ1 2026: $851MQ2 2026: $942MQ3 2026: $904M
Q4 2023: $863MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $886MQ3 2024: $831MQ4 2024: $829MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $884MQ3 2025: $856MQ4 2025: $856MQ1 2026: $851MQ2 2026: $942MQ3 2026: $904M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$903.6M+5.6%
Q2 2026$941.6M+6.6%
Q1 2026$851.1M+0.4%
Q4 2025$856.2M+3.2%
Q3 2025$855.7M+3%
Q2 2025$883.7M-0.2%
Q1 2025$847.6M-1.7%
Q4 2024$829.4M-3.9%

GTES's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $904M last quarter, up 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over GTES on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTES Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$42.4M-47%
Q2 2026$60.3M-28%
Q1 2026$13.5M+$23.7M
Q4 2025$251M+50%
Q3 2025$80.5M-14%
Q2 2025$83.6M+16%
Q1 2025-$10.2M+$26.8M
Q4 2024$167.6M-0.1%

GTES generated $367M in free cash flow over the past year, up 14% from the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over GTES on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTES Total Shares

Q4 2023: 276MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 265MQ1 2025: 262MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 262MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 256MQ3 2026: 256M
Q4 2023: 276MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 265MQ1 2025: 262MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 262MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 256MQ3 2026: 256M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-552K shares
1 year-2.3%-6M shares
3 years-4.6%-12.3M shares
5 years-15%-44.1M shares
Available history-12%-36M shares

GTES has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GTES Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

GTES's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over GTES on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GTES Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.1Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

GTES's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

GTES PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGTESSector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %355823 pts below

GTES has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

GTES Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.71.2% below
20 week MA$26.33.5% below
50 week MA$25.20.6% above
100 week MA$23.77.1% above
200 week MA$19.331% above

GTES has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

GTES Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.7$13.1-4.5%
2021$13.1$15.4+18%
2022$15.4$11.2-28%
2023$11.2$13.4+20%
2024$13.4$20.7+54%
2025$20.7$22.0+6.3%
2026 YTD$22.0$25.4+15%

GTES has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over GTES on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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