GTES

Gates Industrial Corporation plc

67
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GTES's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 55%, while its operating margin held steady at 14%. At 18x earnings, it's trading below its usual 20x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

GTES Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

GTES's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

GTES PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$25.35—
Cheap15x$20.85-18%
Current18x$25.35—
Fair20x$28.21+11%
Expensive31x$44.49+76%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTES's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GTES Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GTES, with profitability improving.

GTES Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$33.85
Downside-14%$21.70

Calculated from the latest close: $25.35 on Nov 12.

GTES's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +34% against −14%.

GTES Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.84Q1 2024: $0.90Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $1.89
Q4 2023: $0.84Q1 2024: $0.90Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $1.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.89+32%
Q3 2026$1.43+55%
Q2 2026$1.40+77%
Q1 2026$0.95+14%
Q4 2025$0.96+30%
Q3 2025$0.92+12%
Q2 2025$0.79-15%
Q1 2025$0.83-7.8%
Q4 2024$0.74-12%

GTES's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.43 over the past year, against $2.34 in late 2019.

GTES Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $863MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $886MQ3 2024: $831MQ4 2024: $829MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $884MQ3 2025: $856MQ4 2025: $856MQ1 2026: $851MQ2 2026: $942MQ3 2026: $904M
Q4 2023: $863MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $886MQ3 2024: $831MQ4 2024: $829MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $884MQ3 2025: $856MQ4 2025: $856MQ1 2026: $851MQ2 2026: $942MQ3 2026: $904M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$903.6M+5.6%
Q2 2026$941.6M+6.6%
Q1 2026$851.1M+0.4%
Q4 2025$856.2M+3.2%
Q3 2025$855.7M+3%
Q2 2025$883.7M-0.2%
Q1 2025$847.6M-1.7%
Q4 2024$829.4M-3.9%

GTES's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $904M last quarter, up 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

GTES Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$42.4M-47%
Q2 2026$60.3M-28%
Q1 2026$13.5M+$23.7M
Q4 2025$251M+50%
Q3 2025$80.5M-14%
Q2 2025$83.6M+16%
Q1 2025-$10.2M+$26.8M
Q4 2024$167.6M-0.1%

GTES generated $367M in free cash flow over the past year, up 14% from the year before.

GTES Total Shares

Q4 2023: 276MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 265MQ1 2025: 262MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 262MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 256MQ3 2026: 256M
Q4 2023: 276MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 265MQ1 2025: 262MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 262MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 256MQ3 2026: 256M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-552K shares
1 year-2.3%-6M shares
3 years-4.6%-12.3M shares
5 years-15%-44.1M shares
Available history-12%-36M shares

GTES has 256M diluted shares, down 2.3% from a year ago, with $202M in buybacks over the past year.

GTES Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

GTES's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

GTES Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.1Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

GTES's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

GTES PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGTESSector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %355823 pts below

GTES is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

GTES Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.71.2% below
20 week MA$26.33.5% below
50 week MA$25.20.6% above
100 week MA$23.77.1% above
200 week MA$19.331% above

GTES has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 31% above its 200-week average.

GTES Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.7$13.1-4.5%
2021$13.1$15.4+18%
2022$15.4$11.2-28%
2023$11.2$13.4+20%
2024$13.4$20.7+54%
2025$20.7$22.0+6.3%
2026 YTD$22.0$25.4+15%

GTES has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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