GTES

Gates Industrial Corporation plc

67
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GTES has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GTES Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

GTES's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GTES PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$25.35—
Cheap15x$20.85-18%
Current18x$25.35—
Fair20x$28.21+11%
Expensive31x$44.49+76%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTES's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GTES Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GTES, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GTES Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$33.85
Downside-14%$21.70

Calculated from the latest close: $25.35 on Nov 12.

GTES has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails GTES on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GTES Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.84Q1 2024: $0.90Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $1.89
Q4 2023: $0.84Q1 2024: $0.90Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $1.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.89+32%
Q3 2026$1.43+55%
Q2 2026$1.40+77%
Q1 2026$0.95+14%
Q4 2025$0.96+30%
Q3 2025$0.92+12%
Q2 2025$0.79-15%
Q1 2025$0.83-7.8%
Q4 2024$0.74-12%

GTES has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

GTES Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $863MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $886MQ3 2024: $831MQ4 2024: $829MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $884MQ3 2025: $856MQ4 2025: $856MQ1 2026: $851MQ2 2026: $942MQ3 2026: $904M
Q4 2023: $863MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $886MQ3 2024: $831MQ4 2024: $829MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $884MQ3 2025: $856MQ4 2025: $856MQ1 2026: $851MQ2 2026: $942MQ3 2026: $904M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$903.6M+5.6%
Q2 2026$941.6M+6.6%
Q1 2026$851.1M+0.4%
Q4 2025$856.2M+3.2%
Q3 2025$855.7M+3%
Q2 2025$883.7M-0.2%
Q1 2025$847.6M-1.7%
Q4 2024$829.4M-3.9%

GTES's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $904M last quarter, up 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over GTES on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTES Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$42.4M-47%
Q2 2026$60.3M-28%
Q1 2026$13.5M+$23.7M
Q4 2025$251M+50%
Q3 2025$80.5M-14%
Q2 2025$83.6M+16%
Q1 2025-$10.2M+$26.8M
Q4 2024$167.6M-0.1%

GTES has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

GTES Total Shares

Q4 2023: 276MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 265MQ1 2025: 262MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 262MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 256MQ3 2026: 256M
Q4 2023: 276MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 265MQ1 2025: 262MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 262MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 256MQ3 2026: 256M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-552K shares
1 year-2.3%-6M shares
3 years-4.6%-12.3M shares
5 years-15%-44.1M shares
Available history-12%-36M shares

GTES has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

GTES Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

GTES's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GTES Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.1Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

GTES's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

GTES PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGTESSector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %355823 pts below

GTES is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GTES Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.71.2% below
20 week MA$26.33.5% below
50 week MA$25.20.6% above
100 week MA$23.77.1% above
200 week MA$19.331% above

GTES has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 31% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

GTES Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.7$13.1-4.5%
2021$13.1$15.4+18%
2022$15.4$11.2-28%
2023$11.2$13.4+20%
2024$13.4$20.7+54%
2025$20.7$22.0+6.3%
2026 YTD$22.0$25.4+15%

GTES has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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