GT

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company

44
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

GT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over GT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

GT's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GT PE Valuation

GT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GT's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over GT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$5.49
Downside-27%$2.96

Calculated from the latest close: $4.03 on Nov 12.

GT trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.42Q1 2024: $-2.27Q2 2024: $-1.24Q3 2024: $-1.05Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.84Q2 2025: $1.41Q3 2025: $-6.09Q4 2025: $-5.99Q1 2026: $-7.25Q2 2026: $-8.83Q3 2026: $-2.03
Q4 2023: $-2.42Q1 2024: $-2.27Q2 2024: $-1.24Q3 2024: $-1.05Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.84Q2 2025: $1.41Q3 2025: $-6.09Q4 2025: $-5.99Q1 2026: $-7.25Q2 2026: $-8.83Q3 2026: $-2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.03+$4.06
Q2 2026-$8.83-726%
Q1 2026-$7.25-963%
Q4 2025-$5.99-2596%
Q3 2025-$6.09-$5.04
Q2 2025$1.41+$2.65
Q1 2025$0.84+$3.11
Q4 2024$0.24+$2.66

GT lost $2.03 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over GT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.5B
Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.5B-2.3%
Q2 2026$4.3B-4.8%
Q1 2026$3.9B-8.7%
Q4 2025$4.9B-0.6%
Q3 2025$4.6B-3.7%
Q2 2025$4.5B-2.3%
Q1 2025$4.3B-6.3%
Q4 2024$4.9B-3.3%

GT's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $4.5B last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over GT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $993MQ1 2024: −$769MQ2 2024: −$383MQ3 2024: −$351MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: −$797MQ2 2025: −$387MQ3 2025: −$181MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: −$893MQ2 2026: −$69MQ3 2026: −$283M
Q4 2023: $993MQ1 2024: −$769MQ2 2024: −$383MQ3 2024: −$351MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: −$797MQ2 2025: −$387MQ3 2025: −$181MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: −$893MQ2 2026: −$69MQ3 2026: −$283M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$283M-$102M
Q2 2026-$69M+$318M
Q1 2026-$893M-$96M
Q4 2025$1.3B+32%
Q3 2025-$181M+$170M
Q2 2025-$387M-$4M
Q1 2025-$797M-$28M
Q4 2024$1B+2%

GT has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

GT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 285MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 287MQ4 2024: 288MQ1 2025: 289MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 288MQ1 2026: 288MQ2 2026: 289MQ3 2026: 289M
Q4 2023: 285MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 287MQ4 2024: 288MQ1 2025: 289MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 288MQ1 2026: 288MQ2 2026: 289MQ3 2026: 289M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.3%+1M shares
3 years+1.4%+4M shares
5 years+17%+42M shares
Available history+24%+56M shares

GT has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

GT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 20.8xQ1 2024: 18.2xQ2 2024: 10.1xQ3 2024: 10.1xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 8.5xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 11.0xQ2 2026: 97.4xQ3 2026: 11.4x
Q4 2023: 20.8xQ1 2024: 18.2xQ2 2024: 10.1xQ3 2024: 10.1xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 8.5xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 11.0xQ2 2026: 97.4xQ3 2026: 11.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.4xHigh
Q2 202697.4xHigh
Q1 202611.0xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20258.5xHigh
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20245.8xHigh

GT's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 8.5 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.3Oversold
Stochastic7.1Oversold

GT's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

GT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

GT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.4910% below
20 week MA$5.6128% below
50 week MA$6.8441% below
100 week MA$8.0550% below
200 week MA$9.9660% below

GT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

GT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.1$10.4-31%
2021$10.4$21.1+103%
2022$21.1$10.2-51%
2023$10.2$14.3+40%
2024$14.3$8.85-38%
2025$8.85$8.73-1.4%
2026 YTD$8.73$4.03-54%

GT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2021 to −51% in 2022. It's down 54% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over GT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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