GSBD

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.

35
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GSBD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over GSBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GSBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GSBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GSBD.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

GSBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.1x$8.30—
Cheap7.8x$1.96-76%
Fair13x$3.37-59%
Expensive26x$6.43-23%
Current33x$8.30—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GSBD's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.1x, in its cheap range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over GSBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GSBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GSBD's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over GSBD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GSBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$9.83
Downside-16%$6.98

Calculated from the latest close: $8.30 on Nov 12.

GSBD trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GSBD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GSBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.16+366%
Q3 2026$0.25-78%
Q2 2026$0.51-59%
Q1 2026$0.64+49%
Q4 2025$1.03+87%
Q3 2025$1.14+61%
Q2 2025$1.24+44%
Q1 2025$0.43-78%
Q4 2024$0.55-70%

GSBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.25 over the past year, against $5.46 in early 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over GSBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GSBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$33.6M-45%
Q1 2022$51.5M-21%
Q4 2021$49M-68%
Q3 2021$53.2M+29%
Q2 2021$61.6M+41%
Q4 2020$155.3M+713%

SOFI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 45% for GSBD versus up 44% for SOFI.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

GSBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267.2M+466%
Q2 2026$53.6M-69%
Q1 2026$10.4M-92%
Q4 2025-$29.9M-328%
Q3 2025$47.2M-55%
Q2 2025$174.5M+$296.2M
Q1 2025$133.9M+1802%
Q4 2024$13.1M-84%

GSBD has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

GSBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-500K shares
1 year-2%-2.3M shares
3 years+2.3%+2.5M shares
5 years+10%+10.3M shares
Available history+178%+71.8M shares

GSBD has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

GSBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202214.3xHigh
Q1 202210.5xHigh
Q4 20219.4xHigh
Q3 20214.4xHigh
Q2 20214.5xHigh
Q1 20215.1xHigh
Q4 20209.0xHigh
Q3 202064.1xHigh

GSBD's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GSBD.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

GSBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic12.0Oversold

GSBD's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

GSBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSBDSector medianRelative
PE33x13x155% above
PE %926329 pts above

GSBD is trading at 33x earnings, a 155% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI has the edge over GSBD on valuation relative to its sector.

GSBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.825.9% below
20 week MA$9.209.8% below
50 week MA$9.2610% below
100 week MA$10.319% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GSBD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has the edge over GSBD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GSBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.9$19.3-12%
2021$19.3$19.4+0.6%
2022$19.4$14.6-25%
2023$14.6$14.7+0.5%
2024$14.7$12.8-13%
2025$12.8$9.63-25%
2026 YTD$9.63$8.30-14%

GSBD has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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