GSBD

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.

35
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GSBD's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 33x earnings, more than twice its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.

GSBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GSBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GSBD.

GSBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.1x$8.30—
Cheap7.8x$1.96-76%
Fair13x$3.37-59%
Expensive26x$6.43-23%
Current33x$8.30—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GSBD's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.1x, in its cheap range.

GSBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GSBD's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

GSBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$9.83
Downside-16%$6.98

Calculated from the latest close: $8.30 on Nov 12.

GSBD's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +18% against −16%.

GSBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.16+366%
Q3 2026$0.25-78%
Q2 2026$0.51-59%
Q1 2026$0.64+49%
Q4 2025$1.03+87%
Q3 2025$1.14+61%
Q2 2025$1.24+44%
Q1 2025$0.43-78%
Q4 2024$0.55-70%

GSBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.25 over the past year, against $5.46 in early 2021.

GSBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$33.6M-45%
Q1 2022$51.5M-21%
Q4 2021$49M-68%
Q3 2021$53.2M+29%
Q2 2021$61.6M+41%
Q4 2020$155.3M+713%

GSBD's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $34M last quarter, down 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

GSBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267.2M+466%
Q2 2026$53.6M-69%
Q1 2026$10.4M-92%
Q4 2025-$29.9M-328%
Q3 2025$47.2M-55%
Q2 2025$174.5M+$296.2M
Q1 2025$133.9M+1802%
Q4 2024$13.1M-84%

GSBD's free cash flow was $301M over the past year, down 18% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GSBD.

GSBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-500K shares
1 year-2%-2.3M shares
3 years+2.3%+2.5M shares
5 years+10%+10.3M shares
Available history+178%+71.8M shares

GSBD has 112M diluted shares, down 2% from a year ago.

GSBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202214.3xHigh
Q1 202210.5xHigh
Q4 20219.4xHigh
Q3 20214.4xHigh
Q2 20214.5xHigh
Q1 20215.1xHigh
Q4 20209.0xHigh
Q3 202064.1xHigh

GSBD's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GSBD.

GSBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic12.0Oversold

GSBD's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GSBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSBDSector medianRelative
PE33x13x155% above
PE %926329 pts above

GSBD is trading at 33x earnings, a 155% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GSBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.825.9% below
20 week MA$9.209.8% below
50 week MA$9.2610% below
100 week MA$10.319% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GSBD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

GSBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.9$19.3-12%
2021$19.3$19.4+0.6%
2022$19.4$14.6-25%
2023$14.6$14.7+0.5%
2024$14.7$12.8-13%
2025$12.8$9.63-25%
2026 YTD$9.63$8.30-14%

GSBD has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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