GSBD

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.

35
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GSBD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over GSBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GSBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GSBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GSBD.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

GSBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.1x$8.30—
Cheap7.8x$1.96-76%
Fair13x$3.37-59%
Expensive26x$6.43-23%
Current33x$8.30—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GSBD's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.1x, in its cheap range.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over GSBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GSBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GSBD's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

GSBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$9.83
Downside-16%$6.98

Calculated from the latest close: $8.30 on Nov 12.

GSBD trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GSBD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GSBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.16+366%
Q3 2026$0.25-78%
Q2 2026$0.51-59%
Q1 2026$0.64+49%
Q4 2025$1.03+87%
Q3 2025$1.14+61%
Q2 2025$1.24+44%
Q1 2025$0.43-78%
Q4 2024$0.55-70%

GSBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.25 over the past year, against $5.46 in early 2021.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over GSBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GSBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$33.6M-45%
Q1 2022$51.5M-21%
Q4 2021$49M-68%
Q3 2021$53.2M+29%
Q2 2021$61.6M+41%
Q4 2020$155.3M+713%

JPM has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 45% for GSBD versus up 8.1% for JPM.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GSBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267.2M+466%
Q2 2026$53.6M-69%
Q1 2026$10.4M-92%
Q4 2025-$29.9M-328%
Q3 2025$47.2M-55%
Q2 2025$174.5M+$296.2M
Q1 2025$133.9M+1802%
Q4 2024$13.1M-84%

GSBD has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

GSBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-500K shares
1 year-2%-2.3M shares
3 years+2.3%+2.5M shares
5 years+10%+10.3M shares
Available history+178%+71.8M shares

GSBD has 112M diluted shares, down 2% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over GSBD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GSBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202214.3xHigh
Q1 202210.5xHigh
Q4 20219.4xHigh
Q3 20214.4xHigh
Q2 20214.5xHigh
Q1 20215.1xHigh
Q4 20209.0xHigh
Q3 202064.1xHigh

GSBD's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GSBD.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

GSBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic12.0Oversold

GSBD's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

GSBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSBDSector medianRelative
PE33x13x155% above
PE %926329 pts above

GSBD is trading at 33x earnings, a 155% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over GSBD on valuation relative to its sector.

GSBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.825.9% below
20 week MA$9.209.8% below
50 week MA$9.2610% below
100 week MA$10.319% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GSBD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over GSBD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GSBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.9$19.3-12%
2021$19.3$19.4+0.6%
2022$19.4$14.6-25%
2023$14.6$14.7+0.5%
2024$14.7$12.8-13%
2025$12.8$9.63-25%
2026 YTD$9.63$8.30-14%

GSBD has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over GSBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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