GSBD

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.

35
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GSBD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over GSBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GSBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GSBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GSBD.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

GSBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.1x$8.30—
Cheap7.8x$1.96-76%
Fair13x$3.37-59%
Expensive26x$6.43-23%
Current33x$8.30—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GSBD's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.1x, in its cheap range.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over GSBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GSBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GSBD's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over GSBD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GSBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$9.83
Downside-16%$6.98

Calculated from the latest close: $8.30 on Nov 12.

GSBD trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GSBD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GSBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.16+366%
Q3 2026$0.25-78%
Q2 2026$0.51-59%
Q1 2026$0.64+49%
Q4 2025$1.03+87%
Q3 2025$1.14+61%
Q2 2025$1.24+44%
Q1 2025$0.43-78%
Q4 2024$0.55-70%

GSBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.25 over the past year, against $5.46 in early 2021.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over GSBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GSBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$33.6M-45%
Q1 2022$51.5M-21%
Q4 2021$49M-68%
Q3 2021$53.2M+29%
Q2 2021$61.6M+41%
Q4 2020$155.3M+713%

HOOD has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 45% for GSBD versus up 12% for HOOD.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

GSBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267.2M+466%
Q2 2026$53.6M-69%
Q1 2026$10.4M-92%
Q4 2025-$29.9M-328%
Q3 2025$47.2M-55%
Q2 2025$174.5M+$296.2M
Q1 2025$133.9M+1802%
Q4 2024$13.1M-84%

GSBD's free cash flow was $301M over the past year, down 18% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GSBD.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over GSBD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GSBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-500K shares
1 year-2%-2.3M shares
3 years+2.3%+2.5M shares
5 years+10%+10.3M shares
Available history+178%+71.8M shares

GSBD has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

GSBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202214.3xHigh
Q1 202210.5xHigh
Q4 20219.4xHigh
Q3 20214.4xHigh
Q2 20214.5xHigh
Q1 20215.1xHigh
Q4 20209.0xHigh
Q3 202064.1xHigh

GSBD's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GSBD.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

GSBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic12.0Oversold

GSBD's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

GSBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSBDSector medianRelative
PE33x13x155% above
PE %926329 pts above

GSBD has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GSBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.825.9% below
20 week MA$9.209.8% below
50 week MA$9.2610% below
100 week MA$10.319% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GSBD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has the edge over GSBD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GSBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.9$19.3-12%
2021$19.3$19.4+0.6%
2022$19.4$14.6-25%
2023$14.6$14.7+0.5%
2024$14.7$12.8-13%
2025$12.8$9.63-25%
2026 YTD$9.63$8.30-14%

GSBD has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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