GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over WU overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WU

The Western Union Company

35
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

WU trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

WU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

WU's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WU.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

WU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$6.65—
Cheap4.8x$5.02-25%
Current6.3x$6.65—
Fair6.8x$7.12+7.1%
Expensive11x$11.13+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WU has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect WU's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$7.56
Downside-25%$5.02

Calculated from the latest close: $6.65 on Nov 12.

WU trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over WU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.68Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $2.74Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.65Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.36Q2 2026: $1.23Q3 2026: $1.05Forward: $1.44
Q4 2023: $1.68Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $2.74Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.65Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.36Q2 2026: $1.23Q3 2026: $1.05Forward: $1.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.44+37%
Q3 2026$1.05-54%
Q2 2026$1.23-54%
Q1 2026$1.36-49%
Q4 2025$1.52-45%
Q3 2025$2.30+18%
Q2 2025$2.65+63%
Q1 2025$2.69+59%
Q4 2024$2.74+63%

WU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.05 over the past year, against $2.74 in late 2024.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over WU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $984MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $984MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B-2.3%
Q2 2026$1B-1.3%
Q1 2026$982.7M-0.1%
Q4 2025$1B-4.7%
Q3 2025$1B-0.3%
Q2 2025$1B-3.8%
Q1 2025$983.6M-6.2%
Q4 2024$1.1B+0.6%

WU's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $1B last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

WU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: $100M
Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99.9M-60%
Q2 2026$94.6M+$102.4M
Q1 2026$102.6M-29%
Q4 2025$115.5M-3.5%
Q3 2025$252.7M+23%
Q2 2025-$7.8M+$31.1M
Q1 2025$144.8M+74%
Q4 2024$119.7M-54%

WU has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over WU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 372MQ1 2024: 346MQ2 2024: 340MQ3 2024: 340MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 339MQ2 2025: 330MQ3 2025: 323MQ4 2025: 328MQ1 2026: 317MQ2 2026: 314MQ3 2026: 314M
Q4 2023: 372MQ1 2024: 346MQ2 2024: 340MQ3 2024: 340MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 339MQ2 2025: 330MQ3 2025: 323MQ4 2025: 328MQ1 2026: 317MQ2 2026: 314MQ3 2026: 314M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-100K shares
1 year-2.9%-9.3M shares
3 years-16%-61.5M shares
5 years-23%-94.5M shares
Available history-26%-111M shares

WU has 314M diluted shares, down 2.9% from a year ago, with $92M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over WU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

WU's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WU.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic38.7Neutral

WU's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

WU PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWUSector medianRelative
PE6.3x13x51% below
PE %426321 pts below

WU has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over WU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.315.4% above
20 week MA$6.964.5% below
50 week MA$8.1719% below
100 week MA$8.7724% below
200 week MA$10.537% below

WU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 37% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over WU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$21.9-20%
2021$21.9$17.8-19%
2022$17.8$13.8-22%
2023$13.8$11.9-14%
2024$11.9$10.7-10%
2025$10.7$9.40-12%
2026 YTD$9.40$6.65-29%

WU has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.

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