GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over UWMC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

UWMC

UWM Holdings Corporation

41
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UWMC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

UWMC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

UWMC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UWMC.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over UWMC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UWMC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.5x$0.04-97%
Fair1.2x$0.10-92%
Forward9.3x$1.27—
Current16x$1.27—
Expensive59x$4.69+269%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UWMC's PE is in its fair range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UWMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UWMC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UWMC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UWMC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$1.74
Downside-31%$0.88

Calculated from the latest close: $1.27 on Nov 12.

UWMC trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

UWMC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $0.14
Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $0.14

UWMC and GS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

UWMC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $570MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $526MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $759MQ3 2025: $843MQ4 2025: $945MQ1 2026: $901MQ2 2026: $888MQ3 2026: $811M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $570MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $526MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $759MQ3 2025: $843MQ4 2025: $945MQ1 2026: $901MQ2 2026: $888MQ3 2026: $811M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$811.1M-3.8%
Q2 2026$888M+17%
Q1 2026$901.4M+47%
Q4 2025$945.2M+69%
Q3 2025$843.3M+60%
Q2 2025$758.7M+50%
Q1 2025$613.4M+7.6%
Q3 2024$526.4M-22%

UWMC's revenue is growing: $811M last quarter, down 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

UWMC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$2.2BQ2 2024: −$1.3BQ3 2024: −$2.2BQ4 2024: −$552MQ1 2025: $576MQ2 2025: −$290MQ3 2025: −$3.1BQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: −$2.2BQ2 2026: $335MQ3 2026: $14M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$2.2BQ2 2024: −$1.3BQ3 2024: −$2.2BQ4 2024: −$552MQ1 2025: $576MQ2 2025: −$290MQ3 2025: −$3.1BQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: −$2.2BQ2 2026: $335MQ3 2026: $14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.2M+$3.1B
Q2 2026$334.6M+$624.6M
Q1 2026-$2.2B-490%
Q4 2025$82M+$633.6M
Q3 2025-$3.1B-$899.1M
Q2 2025-$290.1M+$1B
Q1 2025$576.1M+$2.8B
Q3 2024-$2.2B-745%

UWMC has the edge over GS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over UWMC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UWMC Total Shares

Q1 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 202MQ3 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 338MQ3 2026: 343M
Q1 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 202MQ3 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 338MQ3 2026: 343M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.7%+5.8M shares
1 year+70%+141M shares

UWMC has 343M diluted shares, up 70% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over UWMC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UWMC Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5.9xQ2 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 16.8xQ4 2025: 8.2xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 16.2x
Q4 2024: 5.9xQ2 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 16.8xQ4 2025: 8.2xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 16.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202616.2xHigh
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20258.2xHigh
Q3 202516.8xHigh
Q2 202512.0xHigh
Q4 20245.9xHigh
Q3 20233.4xElevated
Q2 20233.4xElevated

UWMC's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 12 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UWMC.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

UWMC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic47.8Neutral

UWMC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over UWMC on valuation relative to its sector.

UWMC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUWMCSector medianRelative
PE16x13x22% above
PE %546410 pts below

UWMC is trading at 16x earnings, a 22% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over UWMC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UWMC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.302.3% below
20 week MA$1.5116% below
50 week MA$3.0258% below
100 week MA$4.1770% below
200 week MA$5.2476% below

UWMC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over UWMC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UWMC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.30$12.8+37%
2021$12.8$6.38-50%
2022$6.38$3.56-44%
2023$3.56$7.15+101%
2024$7.15$5.78-19%
2025$5.78$4.59-21%
2026 YTD$4.59$1.27-72%

UWMC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +101% in 2023 to −50% in 2021. It's down 72% so far in 2026.

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