GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has a slight edge over UPST overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
UPST
Upstart Holdings, Inc.
UPST offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
UPST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UPST's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UPST.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
UPST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $19.15 | — |
| Cheap | 30x | $18.54 | -3.2% |
| Current | 31x | $19.15 | — |
| Fair | 75x | $46.41 | +142% |
| Expensive | 441x | $273 | +1328% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UPST has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
UPST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Decline | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect UPST's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
UPST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.04 | +67% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.62 | +158% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.52 | +$0.58 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.41 | +$1.14 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.45 | +$1.89 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.24 | +$2.14 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.06 | +$2.25 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.73 | +$1.30 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.44 | +$1.43 |
UPST's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.62 over the past year, against $1.66 in early 2022.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS has the edge over UPST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UPST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $370.5M | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $364.7M | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $308.2M | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $296.1M | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $277.1M | +71% |
| Q2 2025 | $257.3M | +102% |
| Q1 2025 | $213.4M | +67% |
| Q4 2024 | $219M | +56% |
UPST has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.4% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.4% | +8.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.5% | +36 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.1% | +51 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.2% | +32 points |
UPST's operating margin was 9.7% last quarter, up 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS has the edge over UPST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UPST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$20.6M | +$102.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$138.7M | -$18.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$136M | -$122.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $108.4M | +$219.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$122.7M | -168% |
| Q2 2025 | -$120.3M | -284% |
| Q1 2025 | -$13.5M | -126% |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.9M | +$33M |
UPST's free cash flow was −$187M over the past year, against −$367M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UPST.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has the edge over UPST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
UPST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +14% | +15.7M shares |
| 1 year | +14% | +15.7M shares |
| 3 years | +49% | +41M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +29.4M shares |
| Available history | +771% | +111M shares |
UPST has 125M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $100.1M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $27.8M |
| Q3 2022 | $25M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over UPST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UPST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -7.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -9.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -11.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -39.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -7.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
UPST has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UPST.
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
UPST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 5.5 | Oversold |
UPST's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS has the edge over UPST on valuation relative to its sector.
UPST PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UPST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 13x | 137% above |
| PE % | 18 | 61 | 43 pts below |
UPST is trading at 31x earnings, a 137% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS has the edge over UPST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
UPST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.8 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $26.7 | 28% below |
| 50 week MA | $31.7 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $44.8 | 57% below |
| 200 week MA | $38.6 | 50% below |
UPST is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has the edge over UPST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
UPST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $44.1 | $44.0 | -0.3% |
| 2021 | $44.0 | $148.1 | +237% |
| 2022 | $148.1 | $13.2 | -91% |
| 2023 | $13.2 | $40.9 | +210% |
| 2024 | $40.9 | $68.0 | +66% |
| 2025 | $68.0 | $47.5 | -30% |
| 2026 YTD | $47.5 | $19.2 | -60% |
UPST's yearly returns have swung widely, from +237% in 2021 to −91% in 2022. It's down 60% so far in 2026.