GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has a slight edge over UFCS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

UFCS

United Fire Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

UFCS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

UFCS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

UFCS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UFCS.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

UFCS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x113x151x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x113x151x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.9x$46.41-9.5%
Current9.8x$51.30—
Fair11x$59.07+15%
Forward11x$51.30—
Expensive44x$229+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UFCS has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over UFCS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

UFCS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UFCS, with profitability holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails UFCS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UFCS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$66.33
Downside-14%$44.03

Calculated from the latest close: $51.30 on Nov 12.

UFCS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

UFCS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $1.94Q4 2024: $2.39Q1 2025: $2.54Q2 2025: $3.52Q3 2025: $4.25Q4 2025: $4.48Q1 2026: $4.96Q2 2026: $5.38Q3 2026: $5.23Forward: $4.63
Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $1.94Q4 2024: $2.39Q1 2025: $2.54Q2 2025: $3.52Q3 2025: $4.25Q4 2025: $4.48Q1 2026: $4.96Q2 2026: $5.38Q3 2026: $5.23Forward: $4.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.63-11%
Q3 2026$5.23+23%
Q2 2026$5.38+53%
Q1 2026$4.96+95%
Q4 2025$4.48+87%
Q3 2025$4.25+119%
Q2 2025$3.52+146%
Q1 2025$2.54+$3.23
Q4 2024$2.39+$3.57

UFCS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.23 over the past year, up 23% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

UFCS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $287MQ1 2024: $296MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $331MQ2 2025: $335MQ3 2025: $354MQ4 2025: $366MQ1 2026: $369MQ2 2026: $384MQ3 2026: $392M
Q4 2023: $287MQ1 2024: $296MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $331MQ2 2025: $335MQ3 2025: $354MQ4 2025: $366MQ1 2026: $369MQ2 2026: $384MQ3 2026: $392M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$391.6M+11%
Q2 2026$383.7M+14%
Q1 2026$369.4M+12%
Q4 2025$365.8M+9.8%
Q3 2025$354M+9.6%
Q2 2025$335.5M+11%
Q1 2025$331.1M+12%
Q4 2024$333.2M+16%

UFCS's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $392M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

UFCS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $156MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $101M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $156MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $101M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$101.1M+66%
Q2 2026$34.2M-36%
Q1 2026$56.6M+59%
Q4 2025$119.8M-23%
Q3 2025$60.8M+7.8%
Q2 2025$53.4M-42%
Q1 2025$35.7M-1.3%
Q4 2024$156.4M+603%

UFCS has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over UFCS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UFCS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+271K shares
1 year-0.8%-201K shares
3 years+2.3%+587K shares
5 years+4.3%+1.1M shares
Available history+2.3%+584K shares

UFCS has 26M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over UFCS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UFCS Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

UFCS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UFCS.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

UFCS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic44.4Neutral

UFCS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

UFCS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUFCSSector medianRelative
PE9.8x13x25% below
PE %316332 pts below

UFCS has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

UFCS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$54.15.2% below
20 week MA$53.74.4% below
50 week MA$45.513% above
100 week MA$37.338% above
200 week MA$30.171% above

UFCS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 71% above its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

UFCS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.2$24.5-43%
2021$24.5$23.3-4.9%
2022$23.3$28.4+22%
2023$28.4$20.1-29%
2024$20.1$28.5+42%
2025$28.5$36.4+28%
2026 YTD$36.4$51.3+41%

UFCS has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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