GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has a slight edge over TWFG overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
TWFG
TWFG, Inc. Common Stock
TWFG offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
TWFG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
TWFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TWFG.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
TWFG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $26.72 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $20.20 | -24% |
| Fair | 41x | $23.99 | -10% |
| Current | 45x | $26.72 | — |
| Expensive | 47x | $27.74 | +3.8% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TWFG has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TWFG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TWFG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
TWFG Earnings Per Share
TWFG and GS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS has the edge over TWFG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TWFG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $79.9M | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $87.5M | +45% |
| Q1 2026 | $72.8M | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $70.3M | +42% |
| Q3 2025 | $64.1M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $60.3M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $53.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $49.5M | +30% |
TWFG has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | +7.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -5.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | +7.3 points |
TWFG's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 2.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
TWFG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.4M | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.3M | -2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4M | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.1M | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.9M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6M | +$26.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $8.7M | +$11.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $11.5M | +73% |
TWFG has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
TWFG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -98.7K shares |
| 1 year | -14% | -2.1M shares |
TWFG has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $26.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $16.6M |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over TWFG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TWFG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
TWFG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TWFG.
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
TWFG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.3 | Neutral |
TWFG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS has the edge over TWFG on valuation relative to its sector.
TWFG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | TWFG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45x | 13x | 248% above |
| PE % | 70 | 22 | 48 pts above |
TWFG is trading at 45x earnings, a 248% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS has stronger trend alignment. GS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus TWFG above 2 of 4.
TWFG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $26.1 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $26.9 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.0 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $26.9 | 0.8% below |
TWFG's trend is mixed: it's above two of its four weekly moving averages, and 0.8% below its 100-week average.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has the edge over TWFG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TWFG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $22.6 | $28.9 | +28% |
| 2025 | $28.9 | $29.1 | +0.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.1 | $26.7 | -8.2% |
TWFG has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 8.2% so far in 2026.