GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has a slight edge over TRV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
TRV
The Travelers Companies, Inc.
TRV has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
TRV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
TRV's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TRV.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
TRV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $407 | +0.9% |
| Current | 11x | $403 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $505 | +25% |
| Forward | 13x | $403 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $603 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TRV has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
GS has the edge over TRV on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
TRV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TRV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
TRV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.64 | -19% |
| Q3 2026 | $38.04 | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $37.24 | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $33.51 | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.43 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.43 | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.61 | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.37 | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.47 | +68% |
TRV has the edge over GS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS has the edge over TRV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS has the edge over TRV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TRV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.4B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.2B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.9B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.5B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.1B | +7.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.8B | +5.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $12B | +9.9% |
TRV's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $12.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +5.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +9.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | -8.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +3.1 points |
TRV's operating margin was 19% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
TRV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.9B | -8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | +62% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.2B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B | -1.9% |
TRV has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
TRV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -7.4% | -16.9M shares |
| 3 years | -8.9% | -20.5M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -39.5M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -51.7M shares |
TRV has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B |
| Q3 2025 | $619M |
| Q2 2025 | $500M |
| Q1 2025 | $250M |
| Q4 2024 | $256M |
TRV spent $6.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over TRV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TRV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
TRV has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TRV.
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
TRV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 73.3 | Neutral |
TRV's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.
TRV PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | TRV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 19% below |
| PE % | 15 | 63 | 48 pts below |
TRV has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
TRV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $384.3 | 4.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $374.7 | 7.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $327.7 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $295.1 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $247.2 | 63% above |
TRV has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.
TRV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $136.8 | $138.5 | +1.2% |
| 2021 | $138.5 | $154.7 | +12% |
| 2022 | $154.7 | $189.5 | +23% |
| 2023 | $189.5 | $190.5 | +0.5% |
| 2024 | $190.5 | $241.4 | +27% |
| 2025 | $241.4 | $292.1 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $292.1 | $403.2 | +38% |
TRV has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.