GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has a slight edge over STT overall, supported by stronger valuation.

STT

State Street Corporation

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

STT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

STT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

STT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like STT.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

STT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$122-30%
Forward12x$174—
Fair13x$153-12%
Current14x$174—
Expensive15x$183+5.6%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STT has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

STT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

STT has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails STT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

STT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$216.07
Downside-9%$158.61

Calculated from the latest close: $173.70 on Nov 12.

STT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over STT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

STT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.95+22%
Q3 2026$12.24+30%
Q2 2026$11.33+27%
Q1 2026$9.85+11%
Q4 2025$9.40+14%
Q3 2025$9.42+47%
Q2 2025$8.90+65%
Q1 2025$8.88+64%
Q4 2024$8.21+47%

STT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.24 over the past year, up 30% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

STT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+13%
Q2 2026$4B+17%
Q1 2026$3.8B+16%
Q4 2025$3.7B+7.4%
Q3 2025$3.5B+6.1%
Q2 2025$3.4B+8.1%
Q1 2025$3.3B+4.7%
Q4 2024$3.4B+12%

STT's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $4B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over STT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B-75%
Q2 2026-$3B+$5.8B
Q1 2026-$12.4B-672%
Q4 2025$9.8B+$17.5B
Q3 2025$7.7B+210%
Q2 2025-$8.8B-$903M
Q1 2025$2.2B+$3.2B
Q4 2024-$7.7B-299%

STT's free cash flow was −$3.7B over the past year, against −$6.6B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like STT.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over STT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-3.1%-8.9M shares
3 years-12%-38M shares
5 years-21%-74.2M shares
Available history-25%-94.4M shares

STT has 279M diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $1.6B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

STT Net Leverage

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

STT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

STT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over STT on valuation relative to its sector.

STT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSTTSector medianRelative
PE14x13x9% above
PE %756312 pts above

STT is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

STT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.91.1% above
20 week MA$180.33.6% below
50 week MA$155.212% above
100 week MA$129.035% above
200 week MA$103.268% above

STT has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

STT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.1$71.8-10%
2021$71.8$93.0+30%
2022$93.0$77.5-17%
2023$77.5$77.50%
2024$77.5$98.6+27%
2025$98.6$132.3+34%
2026 YTD$132.3$173.7+31%

STT has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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