GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over SRCE overall, supported by stronger valuation.

SRCE

1st Source Corporation

59
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

SRCE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

SRCE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SRCE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SRCE.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SRCE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$70.88-20%
Fair11x$78.05-12%
Expensive12x$90.07+2.1%
Current12x$88.25—
Forward12x$88.25—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SRCE has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SRCE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SRCE, with profitability improving.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails SRCE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SRCE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$106.18
Downside-12%$77.37

Calculated from the latest close: $88.25 on Nov 12.

SRCE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over SRCE on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SRCE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.03Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.16Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $5.36Q1 2025: $5.69Q2 2025: $5.71Q3 2025: $6.01Q4 2025: $6.41Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.28Forward: $7.59
Q4 2023: $5.03Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.16Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $5.36Q1 2025: $5.69Q2 2025: $5.71Q3 2025: $6.01Q4 2025: $6.41Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.28Forward: $7.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.59+4.2%
Q3 2026$7.28+21%
Q2 2026$6.96+22%
Q1 2026$6.52+15%
Q4 2025$6.41+20%
Q3 2025$6.01+14%
Q2 2025$5.71+11%
Q1 2025$5.69+14%
Q4 2024$5.36+6.6%

SRCE's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.28 over the past year, up 21% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

SRCE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$120.3M+8.7%
Q2 2026$118.2M+9.2%
Q1 2026$113.1M+8.7%
Q4 2025$110.8M+13%
Q3 2025$110.7M+13%
Q2 2025$108.2M+11%
Q1 2025$104M+11%
Q4 2024$97.8M+7%

SRCE's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $120M last quarter, up 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SRCE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$69.1M+46%
Q2 2026$49.3M+15%
Q1 2026$58.1M-16%
Q4 2025$53.5M+98%
Q3 2025$47.3M-29%
Q2 2025$43M-7.3%
Q1 2025$69.3M+67%
Q4 2024$27M-34%

SRCE has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over SRCE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SRCE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+9.9K shares
1 year-1.6%-389K shares
3 years-2.3%-577K shares
5 years-3.4%-837K shares
Available history-5.9%-1.5M shares

SRCE has 24M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago, with $28M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over SRCE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SRCE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

SRCE's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SRCE.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SRCE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic55.9Neutral

SRCE's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

SRCE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSRCESector medianRelative
PE12x13x6.9% below
PE %796316 pts above

SRCE has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

SRCE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$86.61.9% above
20 week MA$86.22.4% above
50 week MA$76.615% above
100 week MA$68.728% above
200 week MA$59.748% above

SRCE has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

SRCE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.0$39.9-23%
2021$39.9$48.4+21%
2022$48.4$54.3+12%
2023$54.3$55.0+1.3%
2024$55.0$58.6+6.7%
2025$58.6$64.0+9.1%
2026 YTD$64.0$88.3+38%

SRCE has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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