GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over SKWD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SKWD

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.

59
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SKWD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

SKWD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SKWD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SKWD.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SKWD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$62.67—
Cheap13x$56.39-10%
Fair15x$63.66+1.6%
Current15x$62.67—
Expensive18x$78.45+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SKWD has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SKWD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SKWD, with profitability holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails SKWD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SKWD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$78.49
Downside-19%$50.63

Calculated from the latest close: $62.67 on Nov 12.

SKWD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over SKWD on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SKWD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.72Q2 2024: $2.96Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $2.87Q1 2025: $2.98Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $3.37Q4 2025: $4.07Q1 2026: $4.15Q2 2026: $4.29Q3 2026: $4.28Forward: $5.32
Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.72Q2 2024: $2.96Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $2.87Q1 2025: $2.98Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $3.37Q4 2025: $4.07Q1 2026: $4.15Q2 2026: $4.29Q3 2026: $4.28Forward: $5.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.32+24%
Q3 2026$4.28+27%
Q2 2026$4.29+36%
Q1 2026$4.15+39%
Q4 2025$4.07+42%
Q3 2025$3.37+2.7%
Q2 2025$3.16+6.8%
Q1 2025$2.98+9.6%
Q4 2024$2.87+28%

SKWD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.28 over the past year, up 27% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

SKWD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $265MQ2 2024: $280MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $320MQ3 2025: $383MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $455M
Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $265MQ2 2024: $280MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $320MQ3 2025: $383MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $455M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$455.3M+19%
Q2 2026$489.5M+53%
Q1 2026$475.9M+45%
Q4 2025$385.6M+27%
Q3 2025$382.5M+27%
Q2 2025$319.9M+14%
Q1 2025$328.5M+24%
Q4 2024$304.4M+24%

SKWD has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

SKWD has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 76% versus its history, compared with GS at down 278%.

SKWD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$50.1M+140%
Q3 2025$168.9M+0.8%
Q2 2025$87.1M+372%
Q1 2025$96.6M+2.7%
Q3 2024$167.6M+52%
Q2 2024$18.4M+2589%
Q1 2024$94M-12%
Q3 2023$110.1M+82%

SKWD's free cash flow was $403M over the past year, up 34% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SKWD.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over SKWD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SKWD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+107K shares
1 year+9.4%+3.9M shares
3 years+19%+7.4M shares
5 years+26%+9.5M shares
Available history+22%+8.2M shares

SKWD has 46M diluted shares, up 9.4% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SKWD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20221.4xHealthy
Q3 20223.0xElevated
Q2 20220.7xVery low
Q1 20220.6xVery low
Q4 20211.6xHealthy
Q3 20210.7xVery low

SKWD's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SKWD.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SKWD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.2Neutral
Stochastic64.5Neutral

SKWD's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over SKWD on valuation relative to its sector.

SKWD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSKWDSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %435310 pts below

SKWD is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

SKWD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.06.3% above
20 week MA$59.16.1% above
50 week MA$51.821% above
100 week MA$51.422% above
200 week MA$41.750% above

SKWD has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

SKWD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$19.1$33.9+77%
2024$33.9$50.8+50%
2025$50.8$51.9+2.1%
2026 YTD$51.9$62.7+21%

SKWD has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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