SKWD

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.

59
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SKWD's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 35%, while its operating margin held steady at 14%. At 15x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SKWD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SKWD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SKWD.

SKWD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$62.67—
Cheap13x$56.39-10%
Fair15x$63.66+1.6%
Current15x$62.67—
Expensive18x$78.45+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SKWD's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SKWD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SKWD, with profitability holding steady.

SKWD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$78.49
Downside-19%$50.63

Calculated from the latest close: $62.67 on Nov 12.

SKWD's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +25% against −19%.

SKWD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.72Q2 2024: $2.96Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $2.87Q1 2025: $2.98Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $3.37Q4 2025: $4.07Q1 2026: $4.15Q2 2026: $4.29Q3 2026: $4.28Forward: $5.32
Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.72Q2 2024: $2.96Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $2.87Q1 2025: $2.98Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $3.37Q4 2025: $4.07Q1 2026: $4.15Q2 2026: $4.29Q3 2026: $4.28Forward: $5.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.32+24%
Q3 2026$4.28+27%
Q2 2026$4.29+36%
Q1 2026$4.15+39%
Q4 2025$4.07+42%
Q3 2025$3.37+2.7%
Q2 2025$3.16+6.8%
Q1 2025$2.98+9.6%
Q4 2024$2.87+28%

SKWD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.28 over the past year, up 27% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2021.

SKWD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $265MQ2 2024: $280MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $320MQ3 2025: $383MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $455M
Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $265MQ2 2024: $280MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $320MQ3 2025: $383MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $455M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$455.3M+19%
Q2 2026$489.5M+53%
Q1 2026$475.9M+45%
Q4 2025$385.6M+27%
Q3 2025$382.5M+27%
Q2 2025$319.9M+14%
Q1 2025$328.5M+24%
Q4 2024$304.4M+24%

SKWD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $455M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

SKWD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$50.1M+140%
Q3 2025$168.9M+0.8%
Q2 2025$87.1M+372%
Q1 2025$96.6M+2.7%
Q3 2024$167.6M+52%
Q2 2024$18.4M+2589%
Q1 2024$94M-12%
Q3 2023$110.1M+82%

SKWD's free cash flow was $403M over the past year, up 34% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SKWD.

SKWD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+107K shares
1 year+9.4%+3.9M shares
3 years+19%+7.4M shares
5 years+26%+9.5M shares
Available history+22%+8.2M shares

SKWD has 46M diluted shares, up 9.4% from a year ago.

SKWD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20221.4xHealthy
Q3 20223.0xElevated
Q2 20220.7xVery low
Q1 20220.6xVery low
Q4 20211.6xHealthy
Q3 20210.7xVery low

SKWD's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SKWD.

SKWD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.2Neutral
Stochastic64.5Neutral

SKWD's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

SKWD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSKWDSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %435310 pts below

SKWD is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SKWD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.06.3% above
20 week MA$59.16.1% above
50 week MA$51.821% above
100 week MA$51.422% above
200 week MA$41.750% above

SKWD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% above its 200-week average.

SKWD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$19.1$33.9+77%
2024$33.9$50.8+50%
2025$50.8$51.9+2.1%
2026 YTD$51.9$62.7+21%

SKWD has finished every year since 2023 higher, and it's up 21% so far in 2026.

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