GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over SFNC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

SFNC

Simmons First National Corporation

52
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

SFNC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

SFNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SFNC's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SFNC.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SFNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.4x$13.58-42%
Forward10x$23.39—
Fair12x$18.91-19%
Current15x$23.39—
Expensive16x$25.35+8.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SFNC has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SFNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SFNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails SFNC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SFNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$28.57
Downside-13%$20.35

Calculated from the latest close: $23.39 on Nov 12.

SFNC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

SFNC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 41% for GS versus SFNC up 58%.

SFNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.27
Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.27+41%
Q2 2025$1.27+6.7%
Q1 2025$1.16-13%
Q4 2024$1.21-12%
Q3 2024$1.02-44%
Q2 2024$1.19-43%
Q1 2024$1.33-28%
Q4 2023$1.38-33%
Q3 2023$1.830%

SFNC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.61 over the past year, against $2.58 in early 2020.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 23% for GS versus up 17% for SFNC.

SFNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $249MQ3 2026: $251M
Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $249MQ3 2026: $251M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$248.6M+16%
Q1 2026$241.4M+15%
Q4 2025$249M+19%
Q2 2025$214.2M+8.6%
Q1 2025$209.6M+7.4%
Q4 2024$208.5M+17%
Q3 2024$174.8M-11%
Q2 2024$197.2M-5.3%

SFNC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $251M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

SFNC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 4.5% versus its history, compared with GS at down 278%.

SFNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$125.5M+89%
Q1 2026$34M+50%
Q4 2025$105.7M+46%
Q2 2025$66.3M-8.8%
Q1 2025$22.6M-53%
Q4 2024$72.3M-83%
Q3 2024$187.7M+$234M
Q2 2024$72.7M+40%

SFNC's free cash flow was $324M over the past year, down 7.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SFNC.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over SFNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SFNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 145MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 145M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 145MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 145M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-270K shares
1 year+15%+18.6M shares
3 years+14%+17.7M shares
5 years+33%+36.2M shares
Available history+47%+46.3M shares

SFNC has 145M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SFNC Net Leverage

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SFNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic57.2Neutral

SFNC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over SFNC on valuation relative to its sector.

SFNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSFNCSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %796316 pts above

SFNC is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

SFNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.01.9% above
20 week MA$23.11.3% above
50 week MA$21.58.8% above
100 week MA$20.713% above
200 week MA$19.918% above

SFNC has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

SFNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.8$21.1-21%
2021$21.1$29.3+39%
2022$29.3$21.5-27%
2023$21.5$19.8-7.7%
2024$19.8$22.4+13%
2025$22.4$19.2-14%
2026 YTD$19.2$23.4+22%

SFNC has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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