GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over SF overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

SF

Stifel Financial Corp.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

SF's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

SF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SF.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.8x$56.62-22%
Forward10x$72.26—
Fair13x$76.62+6%
Current13x$72.26—
Expensive19x$109+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SF has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

SF has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$87.18
Downside-17%$60.29

Calculated from the latest close: $72.26 on Nov 12.

SF trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over SF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.85Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.69Q4 2024: $4.17Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.45Q3 2025: $3.78Q4 2025: $3.91Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $5.58Q3 2026: $5.75Forward: $6.95
Q4 2023: $2.85Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.69Q4 2024: $4.17Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.45Q3 2025: $3.78Q4 2025: $3.91Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $5.58Q3 2026: $5.75Forward: $6.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.95+21%
Q3 2026$5.75+52%
Q2 2026$5.58+62%
Q1 2026$5.13+47%
Q4 2025$3.91-6.2%
Q3 2025$3.78+2.4%
Q2 2025$3.45+9.9%
Q1 2025$3.49+19%
Q4 2024$4.17+46%

SF earned $5.75 per share over the past year, up 52% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over SF on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-0.2%
Q2 2026$1.5B+13%
Q1 2026$1.5B+18%
Q4 2025$1.6B+14%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+5.4%
Q1 2025$1.3B+7.9%
Q4 2024$1.4B+19%

SF's revenue is growing: $1.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: −$619MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: −$228MQ2 2025: $593MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: −$390MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $753M
Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: −$619MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: −$228MQ2 2025: $593MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: −$390MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $753M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$752.9M+134%
Q2 2026$61.3M-90%
Q1 2026-$390.4M-$162.6M
Q4 2025$369M-46%
Q3 2025$321.1M+73%
Q2 2025$592.7M+242%
Q1 2025-$227.8M+$391.6M
Q4 2024$677.2M+158%

SF has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over SF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 165MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 166MQ2 2025: 163MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 162MQ3 2026: 160M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 165MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 166MQ2 2025: 163MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 162MQ3 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.5M shares
1 year-3%-4.9M shares
3 years-5.7%-9.6M shares
5 years-9.9%-17.6M shares
Available history-8.5%-14.9M shares

SF has 160M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $428M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over SF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.5xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.5xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash

SF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SF.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

SF's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

SF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSFSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.5% below
PE %446319 pts below

SF has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over SF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$69.44.1% above
20 week MA$75.64.5% below
50 week MA$77.16.3% below
100 week MA$73.82.1% below
200 week MA$61.617% above

SF's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over SF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$34.1+24%
2021$34.1$46.1+35%
2022$46.1$38.6-16%
2023$38.6$46.1+19%
2024$46.1$71.1+54%
2025$71.1$85.8+21%
2026 YTD$85.8$72.3-16%

SF has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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