SF

Stifel Financial Corp.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

SF's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 5 points to 21% and revenue grew 11%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

SF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SF.

SF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.8x$56.62-22%
Forward10x$72.26—
Fair13x$76.62+6%
Current13x$72.26—
Expensive19x$109+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SF's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SF, with profitability improving.

SF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$87.18
Downside-17%$60.29

Calculated from the latest close: $72.26 on Nov 12.

SF's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +21% against −17%.

SF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.85Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.69Q4 2024: $4.17Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.45Q3 2025: $3.78Q4 2025: $3.91Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $5.58Q3 2026: $5.75Forward: $6.95
Q4 2023: $2.85Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.69Q4 2024: $4.17Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.45Q3 2025: $3.78Q4 2025: $3.91Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $5.58Q3 2026: $5.75Forward: $6.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.95+21%
Q3 2026$5.75+52%
Q2 2026$5.58+62%
Q1 2026$5.13+47%
Q4 2025$3.91-6.2%
Q3 2025$3.78+2.4%
Q2 2025$3.45+9.9%
Q1 2025$3.49+19%
Q4 2024$4.17+46%

SF earned $5.75 per share over the past year, up 52% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

SF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-0.2%
Q2 2026$1.5B+13%
Q1 2026$1.5B+18%
Q4 2025$1.6B+14%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+5.4%
Q1 2025$1.3B+7.9%
Q4 2024$1.4B+19%

SF's revenue is growing: $1.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: −$619MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: −$228MQ2 2025: $593MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: −$390MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $753M
Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: −$619MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: −$228MQ2 2025: $593MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: −$390MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $753M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$752.9M+134%
Q2 2026$61.3M-90%
Q1 2026-$390.4M-$162.6M
Q4 2025$369M-46%
Q3 2025$321.1M+73%
Q2 2025$592.7M+242%
Q1 2025-$227.8M+$391.6M
Q4 2024$677.2M+158%

SF's free cash flow was $793M over the past year, down 42% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SF.

SF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 165MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 166MQ2 2025: 163MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 162MQ3 2026: 160M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 165MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 166MQ2 2025: 163MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 162MQ3 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.5M shares
1 year-3%-4.9M shares
3 years-5.7%-9.6M shares
5 years-9.9%-17.6M shares
Available history-8.5%-14.9M shares

SF has 160M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $428M in buybacks over the past year.

SF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.5xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.5xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash

SF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SF.

SF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

SF's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

SF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSFSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.5% below
PE %446319 pts below

SF is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

SF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$69.44.1% above
20 week MA$75.64.5% below
50 week MA$77.16.3% below
100 week MA$73.82.1% below
200 week MA$61.617% above

SF's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

SF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$34.1+24%
2021$34.1$46.1+35%
2022$46.1$38.6-16%
2023$38.6$46.1+19%
2024$46.1$71.1+54%
2025$71.1$85.8+21%
2026 YTD$85.8$72.3-16%

SF has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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