GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over SAFT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SAFT

Safety Insurance Group, Inc.

42
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SAFT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

SAFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

SAFT's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SAFT.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over SAFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SAFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x67x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x67x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$47.86-54%
Fair16x$76.71-26%
Current22x$104—
Expensive24x$116+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAFT's PE is in its expensive range at 22x.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SAFT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SAFT to show an outlook.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAFT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SAFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$115.90
Downside-16%$88.13

Calculated from the latest close: $104.34 on Nov 12.

SAFT trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over SAFT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.46Q3 2024: $5.06Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.90Q2 2025: $5.72Q3 2025: $5.90Q4 2025: $6.70Q1 2026: $4.23Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $4.78
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.46Q3 2024: $5.06Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.90Q2 2025: $5.72Q3 2025: $5.90Q4 2025: $6.70Q1 2026: $4.23Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $4.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$4.78-19%
Q2 2026$4.64-19%
Q1 2026$4.23-14%
Q4 2025$6.70+40%
Q3 2025$5.90+17%
Q2 2025$5.72+65%
Q1 2025$4.90+41%
Q4 2024$4.78+273%

SAFT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.78 over the past year, against $11.71 in early 2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

SAFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $268MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $301MQ2 2025: $316MQ3 2025: $327MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $326MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $268MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $301MQ2 2025: $316MQ3 2025: $327MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $326MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$327.8M+0.4%
Q2 2026$325.7M+3%
Q1 2026$314.7M+4.4%
Q4 2025$319.3M+11%
Q3 2025$326.6M+11%
Q2 2025$316.3M+17%
Q1 2025$301.4M+12%
Q4 2024$286.7M+11%

SAFT's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $328M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SAFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.7M-34%
Q2 2026$37.7M+17%
Q1 2026-$18.9M-764%
Q4 2025$71.4M+42%
Q3 2025$85.5M+17%
Q2 2025$32.3M+29%
Q1 2025$2.8M+$27M
Q4 2024$50.3M+45%

SAFT has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over SAFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SAFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+35.3K shares
1 year-1.3%-185K shares
3 years-0.6%-88.5K shares
5 years-3.2%-486K shares
Available history-4.9%-744K shares

SAFT has 15M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over SAFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SAFT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

SAFT has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SAFT.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SAFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI77.5Overbought
Stochastic81.8Overbought

SAFT's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over SAFT on valuation relative to its sector.

SAFT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSAFTSector medianRelative
PE22x13x68% above
PE %68635 pts above

SAFT is trading at 22x earnings, a 68% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

SAFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.00.3% above
20 week MA$99.54.9% above
50 week MA$84.823% above
100 week MA$80.430% above
200 week MA$79.132% above

SAFT has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

SAFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.5$77.8-16%
2021$77.8$82.1+5.5%
2022$82.1$88.8+8.1%
2023$88.8$76.0-14%
2024$76.0$82.0+7.9%
2025$82.0$78.4-4.3%
2026 YTD$78.4$104.3+33%

SAFT has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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