GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over RLI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

RLI

RLI Corp.

52
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RLI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

RLI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

RLI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RLI.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RLI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x63x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x63x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$51.93-25%
Current16x$69.12—
Fair19x$81.55+18%
Forward25x$69.12—
Expensive31x$134+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RLI has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over RLI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

RLI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RLI's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RLI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RLI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.71
Downside-22%$53.64

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

RLI trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over RLI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RLI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.31Q1 2024: $3.62Q2 2024: $3.66Q3 2024: $4.54Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $3.04Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.81Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $4.77Q3 2026: $4.30Forward: $2.73
Q4 2023: $3.31Q1 2024: $3.62Q2 2024: $3.66Q3 2024: $4.54Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $3.04Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.81Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $4.77Q3 2026: $4.30Forward: $2.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.73-36%
Q3 2026$4.30+13%
Q2 2026$4.77+37%
Q1 2026$4.29+41%
Q4 2025$4.37+17%
Q3 2025$3.81-16%
Q2 2025$3.49-4.6%
Q1 2025$3.04-16%
Q4 2024$3.74+13%

RLI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.30 over the past year, against $7.79 in mid-2023.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over RLI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RLI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: $445MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $470MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $408MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $424MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $477M
Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: $445MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $470MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $408MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $424MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $477M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$477M-6.3%
Q2 2026$575.6M+15%
Q1 2026$423.9M+4%
Q4 2025$465.7M+6.1%
Q3 2025$509.3M+8.4%
Q2 2025$499.8M+20%
Q1 2025$407.7M-8.4%
Q4 2024$439.1M+1.3%

RLI's revenue is growing: $477M last quarter, down 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

RLI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $192M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $192M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$192.4M+8.2%
Q2 2026$142.4M-18%
Q1 2026$41.8M-59%
Q4 2025$155M+21%
Q3 2025$177.8M-19%
Q2 2025$173.4M+25%
Q1 2025$102.5M+47%
Q4 2024$127.6M+4.9%

RLI has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over RLI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RLI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+91K shares
1 year-0.1%-59K shares
3 years+0.1%+121K shares
5 years+1%+873K shares
Available history+1.9%+1.7M shares

RLI has 92M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

RLI Net Leverage

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RLI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic82.5Overbought

RLI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over RLI on valuation relative to its sector.

RLI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRLISector medianRelative
PE16x13x23% above
PE %276336 pts below

RLI is trading at 16x earnings, a 23% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

RLI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.012% above
20 week MA$62.211% above
50 week MA$59.616% above
100 week MA$65.55.5% above
200 week MA$68.11.5% above

RLI has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

RLI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.9$51.9+16%
2021$51.9$54.7+5.4%
2022$54.7$66.9+22%
2023$66.9$66.6-0.4%
2024$66.6$83.0+25%
2025$83.0$64.7-22%
2026 YTD$64.7$69.1+6.8%

RLI has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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