GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over QFIN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

QFIN

Qfin Holdings, Inc.

27
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

QFIN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

QFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

QFIN's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like QFIN.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

QFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current0.7x$5.15—
Cheap2.6x$18.64+262%
Fair4.6x$32.73+535%
Expensive6.7x$47.38+820%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QFIN has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over QFIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

QFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect QFIN's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails QFIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$7.75
Downside-34%$3.41

Calculated from the latest close: $5.15 on Nov 12.

QFIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

QFIN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.06-6.9%
Q1 2026$7.96+13%
Q4 2025$7.70+23%
Q3 2025$7.41+41%
Q2 2025$7.58+68%
Q1 2025$7.03+68%
Q4 2024$6.25+59%
Q3 2024$5.25+58%

QFIN earned $7.06 per share over the past year, down 6.9% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over QFIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$533.7M-18%
Q1 2026$586.7M-3.7%
Q4 2025$511.6M-24%
Q3 2025$781.2M+19%
Q2 2025$649.6M+4.1%
Q1 2025$609.2M-2.3%
Q4 2024$672.7M-0.3%
Q3 2024$655.8M+2.1%

QFIN's revenue is shrinking: $534M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

QFIN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$162.8M-59%
Q1 2026$314.8M-25%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$375.4M+5.5%
Q2 2025$393.5M+34%
Q1 2025$421.1M+43%
Q4 2024$435M+28%
Q3 2024$355.9M+91%

QFIN has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over QFIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

QFIN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+4.9%+6.7M shares
3 years-14%-22.8M shares
5 years-11%-18.4M shares
Available history-4.6%-6.9M shares

QFIN has 143M diluted shares, up 4.9% from a year ago, despite $707M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over QFIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

QFIN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

QFIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like QFIN.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

QFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.0Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

QFIN's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

QFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricQFINSector medianRelative
PE0.7x13x94% below
PE %06363 pts below

QFIN has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over QFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8512% below
20 week MA$9.3445% below
50 week MA$13.060% below
100 week MA$24.579% below
200 week MA$22.377% below

QFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 77% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over QFIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.41$10.8+15%
2021$10.8$22.0+103%
2022$22.0$19.3-12%
2023$19.3$15.8-18%
2024$15.8$38.2+141%
2025$38.2$20.0-48%
2026 YTD$20.0$5.15-74%

QFIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +141% in 2024 to −48% in 2025. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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